December 21, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Kai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Grace | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Two Two’s Legacy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deyonce | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Zephyr | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laneys Love | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kris Stormin Free | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Apple Dapple | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rifle Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Smokin’ Truth | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Tone | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sheer Mayhem | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love to Singh | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reddy to Bet | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Production | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | American Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kinlee’s Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | He’s an Honest Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Strollin Spree | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taken Back | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of the Prince | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Omega | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Far Out Time | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Cane | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remember Me Pop | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Not Today Alfie | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Leg John | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Toga’s Margrock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boggidyboggidy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Getupbabygetup | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flyin Artie | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Her High Road | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eight Grand | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Party Tarde | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Crescent Lace | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mystorynmstikntoit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beat Goes On | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Finishlikeapro | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sindys Luck | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Killingit | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Changewilldoyagood | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thiscatsatalkin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Appeal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Do Guess Again | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J P of Galilee | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King’s Share | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hawaiian Appeal | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whatdatpay Ray | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Colliery | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’rocketman | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Bode | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ipidate | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Makeithappen | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | County Coroner | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tristan’s Dream | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jersey Bullet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chaosmos | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corey’sgoldentouch | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Typist | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pinchout | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Bandit | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supersonicsong | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tornado Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Respect Due | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boots and Saddle | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Calimor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Double Barrel Man | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hold Me Black | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cougar Country | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adios Yankee | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vastjesus | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | She’s Got Moxy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Regal Heiress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ Carol | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just You Wait | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show’em the Heat | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Backstage Star | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theboyzblues | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salute Elle | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Launchabind | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jewels of Sorce | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frisky Breeze | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sea Strollin | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Azuralee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Velleity | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Delightful Soul | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Cissy | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Last Destiny | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kohensrising | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crissy Tenpins | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cee’s Memory | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racin Christina | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ms Tashua | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.