December 22, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angel d’Oro | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunky Dory | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kelley’s Dream | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Active Girl | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ava Claire | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muskarella | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Realmente Calmada | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Podcast | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anita Bonita | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summer’s Indy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Alex’s Bourbon | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inspeightof | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Majesty | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Vicki | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’screative | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Desert Madam | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rachael’s Kiss | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Speedactus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Charlie Gulch | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Biermann | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kubo Cat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aticketforwill | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drewtempo | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makeyourownluck | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scissor Bill | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Some of Merit | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Power of the Pen | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Prince | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Castalia Bella | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Born to D’ Wild | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crown and Seven | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skipadee Due Da | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sizzle Factor | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Sugar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Superstitious Swan | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyzgalaxy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Lass | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tin Roof Rusted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shoe’s to Remember | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King Formeredith | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soldiers Letter | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Dude | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bandit for Time | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robert’s Prince | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Successful Ryker | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Red Kid | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ride a Saint | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cork Arm | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saved At Sea | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Sid N Say | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | War Spirit | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Crown Express | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 6 | Zarba’s Charm | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Moment of Grace | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Lucky Penny | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Miss Katniss | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley’s Doll | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | My Pal Viv | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Z Pride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Rockin Sunday Mass | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Blue Suade Guitar | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brahms Baby | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flat Out Big Money | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thegrayspider | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Argumentally Elle | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Peggys Ouest | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Soul P Say | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Honeypot | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temprano | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shut the Box | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No One Greater | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A M Milky Way | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mistake Present | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pound for Pound | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jail House | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blue Warrior | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gus’s Tizzy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ella’s Actor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blended Lute | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Out Love | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Alex | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flashyboy Bobb | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Callmechamp | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hudson’s Hunt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kingofthefairway | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Town Boss | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Run Trickey Run | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stylish Sailor | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Drakkar | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Look Happy | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodeagle | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tiz Can Fly | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.