December 28, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Unusual Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Clever Miss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Send Her Marie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Becky’s Dude | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Keelies Tea Party | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mimeograph | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | You Have a Point | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blazing Sensation | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Risen Cork | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Puckerupandkissme | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One K Queen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lily Rhett | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Home Run Trick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dry Levee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sabrena’s Bling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Forgotten Coast | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Drc All Inclusive | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Le Pin (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bud’s Mr. B | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Valyrian | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Class Won | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Proper Decorum | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tapster | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | College Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Conniejoe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Flush King | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halostar | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purim King | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Marvin | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Cookie | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | See Carlos Run | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bailey’s Power | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Song | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Titanium Pledge | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pillage Da Village | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Chief Knockaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shedrow Cocktails | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lip Service | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Meseta Diablo | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hunter’s Humor | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Prospector | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Youve Got a Friend | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montbrooks Miracle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weknewuweretrouble | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Star | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Moon | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Baby B Gone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Jolie Gee | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kipling’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Call | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redtotherescue | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Tator Tot | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Angelic Kriss | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cat’s Hit | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarah’s Prayer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madam’s Dancing | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Great Rebel | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Etbauer’s Ide | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Doodee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cayenne | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Q’ Mark | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legendary Larry | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Hoga | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mack’s Champ | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artist by the Sea | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Maurice | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tooth | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Production | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burning Runner | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Runnin Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Wife | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uknowiaintlying | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fasten | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’sgotthebeat | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summertime Gal | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ardesia | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crowned Style | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lookout S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tap Dance Star | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eskenformore | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Halo | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss That Dude | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Safari Calamari | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lefthoofrightleft | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salty Martini | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ardennes | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Impulse | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asdrubal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coast of La | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | April Sugar | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Placed Plan | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary B Good | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Priority | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Trip | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adrenaline | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colfax | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kantiana | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tdz What a Dream | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yohearme | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Tuff to Cry | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Heath | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V Cross Gripper | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gobler | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.