December 31, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shotgun Bandit | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oso Brave | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tuff Talkin Texan | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Seven Blue | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Professional | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mundi Stone | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Front | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dobert | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pete and Jack | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Live Piece | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pepper Sharp | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toro John | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | De Six | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mojolicious | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Sky Treasure | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Statatement | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirits Fancy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aphiemi | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foolstone | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunshineandwhiskey | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astounding Abby | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edie Wiggins | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Ella Mae | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lovethisbar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Runner | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better in Leather | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milady’s Secret | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iknowyourface | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldie’s Darlins | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Staracrossthewater | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Key to Glory | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Empire Ruler | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Cove | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Que Chistoso | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dawson Who | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affluent Asset | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Latitudefortytwo | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solar Heat | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Flys Forever | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pegasus Champ | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bullionaire | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alta Alpha | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hundredandoneproof | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dopp Creek | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Water Preacher | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nuhouse | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ponyboys Brother | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Despised | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Meanee | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blingin | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Formal Choice | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mnmsuncorked | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’smusictomyears | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassafrass | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Come Find Me | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Fabiela | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Maggie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Borg | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | C’Mon Cash | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weiden | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brown Tiger | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wood Machine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Eclipse | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dynamic Scoring | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thisdewarsforyou | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kalla Kab | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shot Gun Gary | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tybee Island | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Statement | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Takahashi | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly High Gary | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Guys Finish | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Known Defense | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Chief | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magarita Man | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Focus Now | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.