January 3, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frenzy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Yankee’s Fanny | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Gianna | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby’s Freedom | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Def Ridge | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nelly Relly | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lil China | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elody | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fantasy Frills | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Cal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stihl Harbor | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Red Cat | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lukes Bad Boy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barkeeper | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | E Lee | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rooster Bullet | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kelcorcee | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Chase for the Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kingdom Way | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Relentless Attack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Conner Clark | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oliver’s Prayer | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St. Pete’s Crown | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zarb’s Pistol | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whistling Teton | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Promised Youhuff | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Truly the One | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Little Man | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hugo’s Last Song | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Artie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Party Tarde | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Her High Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Moonlighting Majic | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crescent Lace | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yes Babe | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sassy Pants Susie | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Force | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Eight Grand | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Come On Nancy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rockin’rouxs Best | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Missbudlitetime | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | My Prophet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aaron’s Bluff | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Macandales | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Union Salute | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Emmett’s Dream | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stormin Away | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Zendelphian | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stay Home | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jack Be Quick | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Highroller Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Slew’s Shot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Debriyn | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Its a City Day | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Porto | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Kay | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cachito | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kid Correa | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Herbie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Michael | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Slew | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’m Formidable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Picadilly Roadster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Mystorynmstikntoit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Darylslittleengine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exigent | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lip Service | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bluegrass Punch | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dry Wood Creek | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Howe Amazing | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crush | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Natealyze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bear Trappe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Town Drunk | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wilmington | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Future Abundance | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Will Stand | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Charlie’sarchangel | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eye Cloud | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rocktizway | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cherry Freeze | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Divine Holiday | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yeowzer | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Got Even | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cap Rock Miner | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuco Trejo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baires Boy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One King Cat | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runnin Sky | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Left Coast Dreams | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Given Grace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lorrie G | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ethel Eileen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Splashdown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Skylar’s Way | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mintappearence | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheeper to Keeper | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Granfathersleugirl | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever More | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blue Suede Ransom | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rosemary O | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stream | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.