January 5, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rifle Man | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R. V.’s Express | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Conflict | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saved At Sea | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sobriquiet | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dorcheat Zarb | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Red Kid | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Prospector | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Mario | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucame | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Master | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patriot Father | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lanies Choice | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man of Bethel | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Double | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Players Gonna Play | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Got Style | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sparky Top | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Sharp Lewie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Snoop Three Socks | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedactus | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canyon Fire | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lenape Drive | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brutalize | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat On the Roof | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flash of Pepper | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gobler | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Krisynsarasboy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zarba’s Charm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | J J Queen | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Sid N Say | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Linnie Laurine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Guess | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Greeley’s Doll | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Robert’s Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Navy Typist | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Methuselah | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Singing Eagle | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speightstime | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mediamaker | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inagent | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drewstormin | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peerage | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shoe’s to Remember | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mickey | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Cash | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Eternalflame | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wave of Perfection | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inalyze | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becca’s Whisper | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Mella Bella | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Spiced Up | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yours and Mine | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honest Woman | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Out Late | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Six Shooter | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninth Street | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B W P Express | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Troy Ounce | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voo Doo Doc | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trumps Revenge | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Money Bags | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stupify | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gladyousawme | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finglas | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentrified | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bode’s Maker | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All About Ashley | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queeten | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flawless Forecast | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Yankee | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sam’s Town S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Overruling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Zoot Suit | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kid Perfect | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Liger | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Farewell Time | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hold Me Black | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Imma Bling | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A M Milky Way | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Velleity | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dev Mo | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inseparable | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfectly Precious | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Reason | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ebony Nights | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shezaone | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bulletsandbourbon | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Goin’ Girl | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flaming Star | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.