January 6, 2019 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Er Cartel |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mayitas First |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Make a Stash |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Catrina Royal Jet |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Takin On the Bling |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unique Tap |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miliarius |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Short Lily |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sheza Flying Chick |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Papa Dan |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Aint Callin |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flyin Fierce |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Dream Demon |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fierce Hawk |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
One Special Dynasty |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Guapo Enano |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jealous Jess |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Abraajeena |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Midnight Weave |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Pender Island |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Dancing Kelli S |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fast as Cash |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Secret Devotion |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Zoombadaboom |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Key to Glory |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Merveilleuse |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rosies Baby |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gotothemax |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Minersingstheblues |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
C Me Roar |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Power of War |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Changes |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
V F Beestrong |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Meggy’s Amazing |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Manila Customer |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz a Grindstone |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Lil Spilly Nickers |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Simone Bleu |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Trump |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peppanella |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lizetta |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Private Star |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gofargogo |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bea Demands |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Smart Strip |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Malarkey’s Lady |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Timber Baron |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
That’s Gold |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Aland |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Royal Knight |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Our Lucky Day |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pepper Sharp |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Romeoinbluejeans |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Watch Out |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sophomore S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sari’s Tiger |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Splitthedifference |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tappin the Keg |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fairfaithhills |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Victimless Crime |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dusalut |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alta Ky |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Glamsquad |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tee Time Mary |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Klosters (IRE) |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pet Gold |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gunny |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stormy Endeavor |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Katsthoughts |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caymus Kat |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Raise the Magarita |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Relentless Rain |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alittle Bit Parker |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.