January 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Easter Snap |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
Song of the Nile |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1A |
6 |
Lucky Lukie (GB) |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Extirpator |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Nippy Red |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Ribbon Cane |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Strollin Spree |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gradyz Kat |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Hezanothercorredor |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alys Appointment |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hook |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proper Decorum |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drc All Inclusive |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Junket |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valentine Street |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Due Apeal |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ruston Vow |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boston Humor |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Puddin’s the Man |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kingdom Way |
1.40 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ray’s King |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Monie’s Man |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Louisiana Wildcat |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Savannah Dandy |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bad Investment |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saint Dansant |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bonecrushervincent |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Musket’s Cup Cake |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bankers Honour |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Girls Are the Best |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
D’wild Baroness |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dueforadate |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sarah’s Holy Belle |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kehron’s Creed |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Smart Prospector |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Roger Brown |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Biblical Strength |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Prophet |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rocketringo |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
I Rate First |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gentlemengentlemen |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lion Heart Legend |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Witch Hunt |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
11 |
Grand Hoga |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Warned |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
6 |
Rose Needs a Check |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Madelyn’s Wild Max |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Core Portfolio |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Randy Paul |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Drewmisterio |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mister Henry Lee |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ten Silver Pins |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Doodee |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zackarooney |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
My Pal Viv |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
She’sgotthebeat |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angel d’Oro |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tags to Riches |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Muskarella |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
April Sugar |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Waitin On the Gold |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Harper Bee |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Star Banjo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
That’s D ‘cat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Noisey Boy |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zacksgotthis |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exton |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Book |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Two Steppin’ Star |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Choose No More |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Devil’s Pay |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Salutetheprince |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Alex’s Turn |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lucky Lydgate |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Keep the Commish |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ipidate |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brylee’s Deelite |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Successful Shot |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Andrews Speedracer |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain Chatain |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
It’s a Sweet One |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Windys Roadway |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Unusual Gold |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Jianna’s Pal |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Smoothoutthetrack |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Salesgirl |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Emily’s Greater |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ratatouille |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Liz’s Legend |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Kim’s Wilcat |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Silver Dove |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.