January 12, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Social Roy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be a Hero | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dash of Dazzle | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pachanga Party | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Sarge | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Express Jet | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Game Day Drama | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Gator | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forty Fathoms | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Our Closure | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windjammer (GER) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Necessary | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Port Salerno | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play That Tone | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Helen Hayes | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Princess | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paddys Class | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reiltin Oir | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trilby | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Firm | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oh Danny Bear | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Your Step | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wink and a Nod | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Beam | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gem Juan | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Star Seiler | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scoobydoopapa | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamy Street | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Singanothersong | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Call Wil | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Gone Gone | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonwalker | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Jet | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kantharos’ Image | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardened | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Versed | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jersey Joe B | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Henny Hefner | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | City Roc | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Hills | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bobby Lee | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Mandate | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valerie First | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Si Te Vas | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best Trebol (DOM) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Unbridled | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Me Gusta Papi | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trev | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trio of Champions | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Sensual | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amanecer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coop Tries Harder | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotuscare | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Tiger | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Chamo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Bob | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | High Road | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lavish | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Moon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eye’s Reward | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seranitsa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toscana | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Problem | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Kate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sanaable | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Gema | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Chasing Helicity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uncommon Factor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magic River | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fantastic Kingdom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Facts | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amandrea | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Avocado | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madding Crowd | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Lover | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shacklette | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Connectivity | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuji | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Buy Me Love | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nonsensical | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s an Introvert | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spac | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Big E | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heart to Heart | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vici | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Flag | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Mounty | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Stone | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Freeze | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Your Only Man | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Geoscience | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brightworthy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Camgo | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Crime | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brainstorm | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Golden Idol | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Noon Time Gem | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | No Rules | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brud | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deuces Are Wild | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ry’s the Guy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Marshua’s River S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Signare (FR) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bellavais | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Betty G | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valedictorian | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monte Crista | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Tree | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bombshell | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hogans Holiday | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blue Collar | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Cabinet | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nantucket Red | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Sting | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Long | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cured by Kitten | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indygita | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tropical Wave | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Dame | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Come on City (GER) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.