Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 13, 2019

January 13, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Idaho Tornado 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Logical Myth 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Oro de Tejano 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ryder Rocket 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mayhaw Jelly 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 War Treaty 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Slippy 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Storm the Bastille (FR) 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Basecamp 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Coworker 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 8 Freemore 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Temple City Star 8.00 7 13-1
7 6 Brody Takes Charge 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boston Repo 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Calimambo 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Shang 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Brother Richie 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Greeley’s Banker 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Beto 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Our Motive 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 D’tuff Cat Rey 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Betwithbothhands 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aladdin’s Temple 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 A Man Called Boady 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Mr. Sarcastic 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sarcillo 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Handsome Honey 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Flatster 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Aloo Ghost 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Poppy Joe Rocks 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Moti 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Beyond the Arch 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Noble Companion 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Plumb Line 10.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tasting the Stars 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Majestic Rose 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Grandezza 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 In Charge Annie 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Locura 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Paradise Bay 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Farmavet 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ravenel 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Salt Bae 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Boom Bam Bing 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Good Move 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Decant 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Unbridled Class 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dance Rhythms 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Scarlet Flutter 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Game Time Decision 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Whole Scoop 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Tudox Lifting Off 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cosmic Code 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Street Band 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Broadway Cat 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dora Maar 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fugitive Lady 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Just Grace 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Martian 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Dr. Baskin 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Soul of Discretion 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Full of Run 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Handsome Harve 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Dedicated 10.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Vincitore 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Twist Off 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 1 Thunder Mesa 5.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Fra Mauro 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 4 Armament 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Harlan Selection (ARG) 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Broth 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Vinyl 10.00 7 13-1
7 6 Morethanfishin 15.00 7.1 14-1
5 3 Marco Mischief 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dancehall Jack 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Whoajoey 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Leftfieldjunction 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Pinch Assault 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Finishlikeapro 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Youve Got a Friend 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 I Am Ready Again 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Shaniko’s Secret 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Weidenbachers Gent 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Boston Bob 8.00 5.5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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