January 13, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Idaho Tornado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Logical Myth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oro de Tejano | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ryder Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mayhaw Jelly | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Treaty | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slippy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Basecamp | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Coworker | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freemore | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Temple City Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brody Takes Charge | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boston Repo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calimambo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shang | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Richie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Banker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beto | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Motive | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Betwithbothhands | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aladdin’s Temple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | A Man Called Boady | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Sarcastic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarcillo | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Honey | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flatster | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aloo Ghost | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moti | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond the Arch | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Companion | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plumb Line | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tasting the Stars | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Majestic Rose | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grandezza | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In Charge Annie | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Locura | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Bay | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farmavet | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ravenel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Salt Bae | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Boom Bam Bing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Good Move | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decant | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Class | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Rhythms | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scarlet Flutter | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Time Decision | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whole Scoop | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tudox Lifting Off | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Code | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Band | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Cat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dora Maar | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fugitive Lady | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Grace | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martian | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Baskin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Soul of Discretion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Full of Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Handsome Harve | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dedicated | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Vincitore | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twist Off | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thunder Mesa | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fra Mauro | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Armament | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Broth | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vinyl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Morethanfishin | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Marco Mischief | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dancehall Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Whoajoey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Leftfieldjunction | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Pinch Assault | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Finishlikeapro | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Youve Got a Friend | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Am Ready Again | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shaniko’s Secret | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Weidenbachers Gent | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boston Bob | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.