Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, January 15, 2019

January 15, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Conscience 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Yourdreamsormine 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Warcraft 2.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Marriage Fever 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Rossie Val 10.00 5 10-1
1 1 Limerick Lightning 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 R Power Grid 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Salutation 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Averyon 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Dazzle Me 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Lights Down Low 2.50 3 6-1
7A 7 Firey and Gorgeous 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bourbon in Bed 1.40 3.8 7-1
2 2 Helotes 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Melodrama 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Last Great 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Hay Buck 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Iwasbornawinner 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 G Daddy 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 Jw’s Third Mischie 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Baby Brez 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Stuck On Gold 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Flat Out Flashy 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Due Gemelli 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Louie’s Wish 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 7 Lucky Stash 0.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Stroll Action 10.00 3.4 6-1
1A 1 Sierra Forest 0.80 3.5 7-1
6 6 Stay Special 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Bourbon Honey 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Grande Beso 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Gator Girl 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Savannah Roxanna 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Krissys Manicure 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Thirsty Gal 1.20 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lady Racer 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sheplaysthefield 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Berberslilbriebrie 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Chessen 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Racheybullbah 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Weekend Babe 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Hanna Due 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Estrickator 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Silver Trophy 3.00 SCRATCH
9 7 No Hiding Place 1.80 2 4-1
6 5 Runs for Luck 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 The Morning Guys 6.00 4 8-1
2 1 Fleet Gold Digger 12.00 4.4 8-1
7A 6 R Jolley Dreamer 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Good Save 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Mind Magic 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Prize Fight 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Staynsidethecircle 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Bennyluvspoker 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Vocab 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Banker’s Island 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Winter’s Gift 30.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Secret Secret 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Josey Wales 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Venezuelan Success 10.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Our Bruce Edwin 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 True Blue 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hodor 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Jeezum Jim 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sanavi 1.60 3 6-1
5 5 Brother Chub 2.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 American Roma 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Cinco Y Cinco 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Mario’s Revenge 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Special Included 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Talkless Smilemore 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Karen’s Gem 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Promised Storm 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Star of Midnight 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Lost Princess 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pretty Cool Cat 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tempestuous Angel 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Beyond Honor 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 I’m a Factum 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Strong Breeze 5.00 5 9-1
11A 11 One More Round 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Righteous 3.50 5.8 11-1
1A 1 Blinding 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tuffy’s Lucky 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Down With the King 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Cottonall 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Candy Choo 30.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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