January 15, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Conscience | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yourdreamsormine | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warcraft | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marriage Fever | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rossie Val | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limerick Lightning | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Power Grid | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salutation | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Averyon | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Dazzle Me | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lights Down Low | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Firey and Gorgeous | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon in Bed | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helotes | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melodrama | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Great | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hay Buck | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iwasbornawinner | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | G Daddy | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Brez | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stuck On Gold | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flashy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Due Gemelli | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louie’s Wish | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Lucky Stash | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stroll Action | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Sierra Forest | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Special | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Honey | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grande Beso | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Girl | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Savannah Roxanna | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Krissys Manicure | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Gal | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Racer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheplaysthefield | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Berberslilbriebrie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chessen | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racheybullbah | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weekend Babe | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hanna Due | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Estrickator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silver Trophy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | No Hiding Place | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runs for Luck | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Morning Guys | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fleet Gold Digger | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | R Jolley Dreamer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Good Save | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mind Magic | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Prize Fight | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Staynsidethecircle | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bennyluvspoker | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vocab | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banker’s Island | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winter’s Gift | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Secret | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Josey Wales | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venezuelan Success | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Bruce Edwin | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Blue | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hodor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jeezum Jim | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanavi | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Chub | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Roma | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cinco Y Cinco | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mario’s Revenge | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Special Included | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talkless Smilemore | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karen’s Gem | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promised Storm | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Midnight | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lost Princess | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Cool Cat | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tempestuous Angel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Honor | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m a Factum | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Breeze | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11A | 11 | One More Round | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Righteous | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Blinding | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Down With the King | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cottonall | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Choo | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.