Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 17, 2019

January 17, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chill 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Captivate 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Concur 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Shane Zain 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Crazy Uncle Rick 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Bad Boy Leroy 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scattering Mink 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Gold Arrow 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Ria Munk 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rancor 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Stormy Sunset 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silent Alarm 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Redrock Trail 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Shake N Fries 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Contagion 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Friday’s At Shady 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 A Salute to Lt Dan 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Warrensdirtydancer 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Tanker 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Small Town Boy 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 D D’s Lute 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Amers 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Uno Trouble Maker 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Easter Dream 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Empress of Lov 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Naughty Sophie 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Don’teatmycookies 2.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Mi Pajarito 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 London Hotel 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Tiz Mi Haina 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Majestic Authority 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 K P’s Smokin 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lucky Val 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Blissful Lady 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rather Nosy 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Reachreachreach 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Goodtingscominpink 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sharp Image 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Miss Lady Ann 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 A Dime for Me 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Curryforthree Bang 5.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Your Royal Coil 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Warrensrollingdice 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Glitter Gulch 12.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mucho Unusual 1.20 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hotitude 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tiz a Master 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 All Tea All Shade 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Time for Suzzie 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spanish Bay 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bless His Heart 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Shanghai Billy 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Pastorelli 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Silver Badge 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Moon Juice 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Victor’s Show 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Casual Reply 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Pig Iron 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Jimmy the Bull 30.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.