January 18, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Confederate Yell |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quiet Dude |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Em C |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vive Le Roi |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saved by Zero |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
D’wildsummersfun |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
R. V.’s Express |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barkeeper |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cork Arm |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
V Double U |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mocito Rojo |
1.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Line Judge |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mageez |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Ruler |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Plot Twist |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
G’s Turn |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Untuttable Speed |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Beautiful Bev |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bandit’s Deelite |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sarah Ann’s Pointe |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Galaxy Girl |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Suede Ransom |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Custom for Carlita |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Granfathersleugirl |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
One Tizzy Trick |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fiery Flash |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jo Blanco |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Premier Song |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Erik the Red |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
2 |
Ms. D’s Last Storm |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1A |
4 |
Salutetheprince |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Killingit |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Perfect Parade |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lip Service |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
5 |
Blushing Dreamer |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shedrow Cocktails |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beau Gator |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
6 |
On Cycle |
30.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ranger Connection |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Giant Collin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Pates Cat |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dr. Frankie Kaye |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Miss Billie K |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Miss Uruguay |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
You Have a Point |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Andale Girl |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Doxontherox |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Keeping Time |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ms Tashua |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Stylist |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rossmoor Way |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ensign |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wise Woman |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Harlans Warrior |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dorkas |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Madam’s Dancing |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tellbuffy |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Angelic Kriss |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Madame Begue |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Tamariu |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Beautiful Wife |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Data Girl |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Skeeter |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summertime Gal |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Striking Femme |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Costa Sugar |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Theboyzgalaxy |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Honest Tina |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
2 |
Arch Arch Baby |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Sarge’s Daughter |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Taylor’s Princess |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Lovely Charlie |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
1 |
Pretty Britches |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Another Level |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Run to Glory |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Alittlecomplicated |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pleasant Buffy |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kipling’s Girl |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Frenzy |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mrs. McGillicuddy |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fantasy Frills |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Auby |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elody |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cheryl’s Copy |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pulchritude |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Conner Clark |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Max Our Man |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Aunya Ruling |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Dad Louie |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cool Man |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jr’s Sauvage |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mauk Power |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Graceful Rules |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Courtney’s Gift |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz Can Fly |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shermaesque Flag |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zebedee Zered |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.