January 19, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Tooth |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Theboyzgrand Kis |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
9 |
Uncle Bird |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Buck Dynasty |
1.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1A |
8 |
Andy Man |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
3 |
Gueydan |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Big Gig |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Whistling Ranger |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Singing Aces |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
6 |
Rockin Rusty Rue |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
7 |
Toast to Don |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Darion’s Dream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Inspeightof |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Testing One Two |
1.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shes Our Fastest |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Americium |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Another Bond Girl |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pearl’s Opinion |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Our Prince |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bet Again |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Round Quarter |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr Goodman |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Run Rocket |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sir Etney John |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flash’s Adventure |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Custom Vision |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Noah’s Prince |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
V Cross Gripper |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Effies Lil Man |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Son of Patriot |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Machi |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Chief Inca |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Whitebutton |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Word of the Day |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Blue Ribbon Girl |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Princess Gianna |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Honest Scarlet |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Byanymeans |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
D D’s Delight |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sha Blush |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quiet Flattering |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kipling Miss |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
3 |
Story Time |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shanghai Woman |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1A |
2 |
Emerald Lady |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
4 |
Note to Selfie |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
7 |
Giant Blossom |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
5 |
Stormieis Blue |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
8 |
Apple Dapple |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
6 |
Best Kept Secret |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
9 |
Smokey Rose |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Jimi’s a Star |
1.60 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saponi |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crocodile Jacques |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Power Jet |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hooray Austin |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Rainey Day |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mucho Marvin |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kantiana |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mangelsen |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Priority |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Ourgoldshalaylee |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Zyanara |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
2 |
Dale’s Lil Sis |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
1 |
Lefthoofrightleft |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Salty Martini |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Kiss That Dude |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Shea’s Lil Shug |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tenpins Tempo |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Proper Decorum |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Valyrian |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Warrior |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Extirpator |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Le Pin (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Northern Trail |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Colliery |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Berko |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cavallotto |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Buddy Chuck |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Landonese |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Icy Willie |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charlie’sarchangel |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nate’s Way |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noble Venture |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Will Stand |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aticketforwill |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cherry Freeze |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Camp Washita |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Stephanie’s City |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pharme’s Phling |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Akulina |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seminary South |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Temple City Darlin |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aloha Kai |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alissaleeparker |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Higbee |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Millie Bee |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rattlesnake Show |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.