January 19, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rinse and Repeat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blitzkrieg | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | George From Tahoe | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Man | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Implicitly | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Point Guard | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Seven | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caiifornia Clone | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Prince | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | According to Buddy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sierra Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comegowithme | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boolicious | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winterbreak | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Luck | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddys Real Diva | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Way | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tenthousandreasons | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Treat | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mistressofthenight | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Award It | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ipray | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Leia | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Burn Me Twice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Stringent | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Papa Turf | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Twirling Tiger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jimmy the Juice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tavasco Road | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Croissant | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shining Through | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storms River | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mobou | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystical Moon | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muralist | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muskoka | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thief of Joy (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emotional Wreck | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tanners Pride | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Hunter | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Facts Matter | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Alex | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Soul | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neighborhood Bully | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zippy Groom | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Adare | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Scalper | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Norski | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dessman | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jumpin Thru Hoops | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Taos | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Of Good Report | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | More Honor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lauren’s Ladd | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Chila | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tigerbeach | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cats Blame | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bedeviled | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street to Indy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortune of War (GB) | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Milo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Perfection | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Palos Verdes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Distinctive B | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Roy H | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Tsunami | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kanthaka | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St. Joe Bay | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Anywhere | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touched by Autism | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dearborn | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strengthinnumbers | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sensible Thoughts | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gattaia | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Desire | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daybreak (GB) | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuega | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mela Jones | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baladera | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coldwater | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.