January 24, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gobler | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Hero Pappy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racin Rebel | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Trip | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Sharp Lewie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clever Lad | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Up to Nothing Good | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Prince | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Amazon | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Giant | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | I Call | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Much to Do | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Becky’s Dude | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Boat | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Prayer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Gypsies | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drama Specialist | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peach Baby | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sharp Pal | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winnie the Roo | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gabby’s Freedom | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D Spyz | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | B Rasen | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scrimmage | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Galaxy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Kiss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speedactus | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guilty Maverick | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power of the Pen | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lenape Drive | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Golden Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Yes Babe | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Like a Haint | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elle Les Yu | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sharp Henny | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot Yankee | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Her High Road | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scottish Bu | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miso Smooth | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Strollin Spree | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chasing a Saint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Golden Drossel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oliver’s Prayer | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Max Our Man | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Doctor | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Nation | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St. Pete’s Crown | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bullet the New Sky | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Potomac Two Step | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Ike Wolf | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monie’s Man | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Montbrooks Miracle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bill’s Production | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentlemengentlemen | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Masster Chief Ron | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smart Prospector | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Cal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Intimidator | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz America | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stihl Harbor | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A Band Apart | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Courtney’s Beau | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Texican | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delicious | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Addaichi | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flatteroni | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slew’s Shot | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Chatain | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hold Me Kat | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Truly the One | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | U Complete Me | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Final Argument | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ Truth | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imindycatbirdseat | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maga Man | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choose No More | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Wined Up | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Tone | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Blessing | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Legendary Larry | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Chat Rat | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Kiss Him Twice | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Potomac River | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cajun Star | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Meseta Diablo | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Just Run Skiny Run | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Bird | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | E Lee | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Stanton C | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Easton Empress | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Daisy Can | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet and Spicy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Doc’s Denita | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Washita | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lorrie G | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspect the Worst | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Bling | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Little Jen | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rosemary O | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Burns Flat | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.