January 26, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mister Intuition | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Little Rockstar | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Majestic Sign | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crafty Ike | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Paynt Battle | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Ice | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southpine Gift | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Morning Surprise | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caesar Point | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc’s Mescalero | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Red Kid | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Man Behind the Bar | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardly Seen Slim | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chatainbegood | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soldiers Letter | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucame | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ellerbe | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First to Score | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inagent | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoe’s to Remember | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conniejoe | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Valor | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tensas Toddy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galaxy’s Preston | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Cookie | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Bud | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. E Edwards | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Bayou | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fats | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | La Reina Isabel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zarba’s Charm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Seveneightnine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Afoolsbrokenheart | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greeley’s Doll | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seattle Firm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | J J Queen | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ringneckdove | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy and Rich | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crickadee | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Katniss | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Best Guess | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | He’s an Honest Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sovol | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tale of the Prince | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mobile Beige | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleet Run | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solid Red | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strollin Spree | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hezanothercorredor | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinlee’s Song | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secure Interest | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Not Today Alfie | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | And Yet Another | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Social Icon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Hard Headed Woman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chief Inca | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Beauty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Kiwi Cat | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Suckerforagrey | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Watch My Steam | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dixieland Flash | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | She’s a Queen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Sassy Mallory | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D’wild Irish Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Podcast | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Majino | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mac’s Is Ruling | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pretty Production | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D’or Fille | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yella Wally Gator | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Devilish Sound | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jewels of Sorce | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midge’s Magic | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | D’money Honey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Taken Back | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Book | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mug Shot Man | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zacksgotthis | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forestdungone | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ella’s Actor | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pierpont | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drewmisterio | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That’s D ‘cat | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Lydgate | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Emily’s Entourage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Getupbabygetup | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Green Lakes | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harlons Commision | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rockin Rah Rah | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Glossy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pi | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doc’s Rocket | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Walter John | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Church of England | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dock On the Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Look Happy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Emma’s Logic | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puma Rocket | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fooling Jay | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zarb’s Pistol | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Town Boss | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Goodeagle | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hugo’s Last Song | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kannon’s Bad Boy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.