February 2, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broome | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Persephone’s Dawn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Upset Brewing | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Salt Bae | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Away Sue | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whole Scoop | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cool Individual | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Chase | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s No Bully | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambassador House | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Star | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brush With Caution | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Parker Run | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | Steeles Run | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 6 | High Mounte (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farat | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Ekaterinoslav | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Commanding Candy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Neon Gator | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Timbrook | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Drayke’s Channel | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ice Peak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Giant Mesa | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Northcut | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dominante | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Felipe | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bar Stool Budget | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Favor | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jacobs Flyer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Turner Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shangroyal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Blaze | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Youdge | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Bravo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mono | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Voodoo Spell | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Richie | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concho | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Domikate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rubin Hurricane | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solomonic | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Copper King | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One for Richie | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aquadini | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iwillpersevere | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oro de Tejano | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lloyd Captain Maestri Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Courtyard | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | West Texas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marquee Prince | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vivid Verse | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Corruze | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Parkway | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spectacular Gem | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conative | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Full of Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Parade Blue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Ukuru | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 4 | Hunker Down | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 10 | Lookingforroses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Boyfriend Material | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 0.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Awesome Fu | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | O’L Red | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Drunken Fridays | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Miss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Persephone’s Dawn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Excessivespending | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Contributing | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oxford Comma | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fiesta | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Probation | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Days | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’s All Skeet | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Dame Blanche | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Soul Singer | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Machinist | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Argument | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Brownies | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss You Jo | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Roux | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | From Now On | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.