February 3, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pecan Pattie | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Year’s Wish | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Norma’s Charm | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingdom’s Queen | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stole E | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Violence | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dillon Rocks | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brees Bayou | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Burt | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Fenomeno | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Zealous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Bunt | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Blue Belt | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Macho | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sol the Freud | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Command | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | For Pops | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Anydayisherday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Kid Is Frosty | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wadadli Princess | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harley Q | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winifred J | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Color Chart | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Banker | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Graces | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Disquiet | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Beauty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Take Me to Hardoon | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonesintheroad | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quietude | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Style | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stabilize | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Scones | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Awillaway | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ja’s Malibu | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsakeyper | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Forever | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tappanzee | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Today Comes Once | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tripp Road | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alphadora | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cholmondeley | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Slippers | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lutheran Rags | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unsullied | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnetron | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Humor | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin Creek | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Lights | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cross Multiply | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | No Mo Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Zip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Miss Marilyn | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Filly Joel | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Destiny Over Fate | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Destiny | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always Shopping | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Getting Warmer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Banba | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Sister | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floss Dancer | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dirtyfoot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Joopster | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wushu Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | La Maquina Gris | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Missle Bomb | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | American Power | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shamrocked | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Sharpe and Ready | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ark in the Dark | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Bourbon N Rye | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.