February 3, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Reagan’s Odyssey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Voila La Victoire (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ortiga (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Cuaima | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Appeal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pillango | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Laur Net | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil’ Smartiepants | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delightful Lana | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yum Yum | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Regal Dame | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vinyardnina | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bahama Kitten | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sybils Best Friend | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Needy | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Monja | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magic Maker | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salsa Queen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | J. P. Calling | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colectora | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sara’s Day | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Grace’s Drama | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Treatherlikestar | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | First Distinction | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queens Quarters | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nile Princess | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kittian Hill | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devuelta | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | For Kicks | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bless the Rains | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Buffet | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Romance | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calais Cove | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Its Factual | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rate of Return | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smirkotch | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barb’s Gray Girl | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Indy Contender | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Better Vibes | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Hills | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Run | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosepath | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Venezuela | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me Gusta Papi | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tong Shu | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Learn Story (DOM) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tropicality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Heading Home | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peru (GB) | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hogans Holiday | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sanity | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vendita | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thinkin Cowtown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Na Pali Spirit | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drinks On Me | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Plans to Prosper | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Her Latest Film | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strike My Fancy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the Gods | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Wonder | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hasnaa | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapin Through Life | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breakfast Pond | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cover Model | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Live Young | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strict Vow | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prince Tito | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Big E | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Bachelor | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Crescent | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transistor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inhibition | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Baby I’m Perfect | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Millionaire Runner | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Best Candy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dania Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Going for Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Current | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Casa Creed | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Thread of Blue | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Urn | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louder Than Bombs | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Silencer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fed Fever | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ole Mole | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stirling Drive | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rayo My King | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shootin the Breeze | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Griff | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Early Entry | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiznoble | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Belle Tapisserie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr Joshua | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | French Quarter | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Gipper | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Successful Roman | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charge Card | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sweetest Chant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Regal Glory | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Bit Special (GB) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eyeinthesky | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Legacy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mission From Elle | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Ciao | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Feve (FR) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ardara Belle (FR) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Unbridled Cat | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Lady Munnings | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady Worthington | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Entrez Encore | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Getmotherarose | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Patriotic | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nilestar | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyphos | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonoma Storm | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Alma | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bean Counter | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tail Feather | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Law | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassifleet | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unblemished | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moldy Money | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.