February 5, 2019 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Burton Ernie |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forty Caliber |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Statatement |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Changes |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Softstar |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mundi Stone |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Master Bubba |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Shotgun Bandit |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Romeoinbluejeans |
1.20 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Aland |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
That’s Gold |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Watch Out |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Crowded Way |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Tomorrow’s Mine |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Astounding Abby |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Champelina |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sheabazinga |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seismic Belle |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Simone Bleu |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Jolie |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Rox the Fox |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Nice Guys Finish |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Empire Ruler |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bobby Magic |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
T. D.’s Gold |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rockinatthebar |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fly High Gary |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rialto Kid |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
California Flash |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prevail |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pepper Sharp |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Known Defense |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mystic Wood Force |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Lucky Again |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Water Preacher |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Floyd Moneymaker |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pegasus Champ |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hundredandoneproof |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bullionaire |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Karen’s Sweetie |
6.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dopp Creek |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alta Alpha |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nuhouse |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
11 |
10 |
Ol Stewball |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
She’smusictomyears |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Pepper Chrome |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Outcome |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Skipaway Tiz |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blingin |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Come Find Me |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Formal Choice |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Piper Piping |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Overlook |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Que Chistoso |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Affluent Asset |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flatter Cat |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trust in the Stars |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cle Elum Phil |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Solar Heat |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coco Loco |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dawson Who |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Rosies Baby |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
National Browser |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bye Bye Sal |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Merveilleuse |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Zoombadaboom |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gunny |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Excess R E |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Parkers Rose |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Get Yourself Home |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sassafrass |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Rosie’s Reward |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Thunder |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Pure Pursuit |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Party for One |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Classy Cove |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jackson Teller |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mario Karty |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Snowball’s Chance |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Jayhawker |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Calex |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.