February 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
King Sniper |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brylee’s Deelite |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Noah Knows |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
On a Heater |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quiet Prince |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pacific Song |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vivinsky |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be the Light |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Huffs Taz a Boo |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wise Woman |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Machi |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cheryl’s Copy |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quiet Flattering |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Honest Scarlet |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sha Blush |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star of Kobol |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fine N On Time |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tdz What a Dream |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Run Rocket |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mr Goodman |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Flash’s Adventure |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Round Quarter |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Good Air |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sournois |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toocan Dance |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Fiery Flash |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Custom Vision |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Flash of Pepper |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Play’em Or Fold’em |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Priority |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Our Motive |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Hero Pappy |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
I’m d’Cat |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Icy Willie |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
B Rasen |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aticketforwill |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Byars Melodie |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Averys Miss |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Halos Storm |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zipitupmysister |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jeweliette |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Seeking Sully |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scarlet’s Causeway |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wewoka |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frontier Tracy |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ella’s Lil Star |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Outrun |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Class Won |
1.20 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Vive Le Roi |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
McKlintok |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hermano T K |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
D’wildsummersfun |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Navy Typist |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will Burn Tails |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pointman |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zipzaptime |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seeyainthetestbarn |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Delicious |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hold Me Kat |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashy Image |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flatteroni |
6.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
U Complete Me |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Belle Force |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dueforadate |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seattle Brew |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kehron’s Creed |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Neko |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kim’s Wilcat |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hiclass Production |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wakeway Dancer |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fortune Got Even |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sucre |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Timeformetofly |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scat At Ms. Pat’s |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Net a Bear |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noralee |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Big Ike Wolf |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Courtney’s Gift |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Can Fly |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
St. Pete’s Crown |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Drewmatic |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mauk Power |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Custom K |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Kiss Your Bride |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Costa Alot |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.