February 7, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caeus in Pasadena | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brazoswildcat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Rocket | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absolutelypositive | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grip Tight | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noah’s Prince | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hesa Fancy Boy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shot On Windy Hill | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Town Boss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Violent Ways | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whatdatpay Ray | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Colliery | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | C’Mon Ve | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain’s Song | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Makeithappen | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Custom for Carlita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fiery Flash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Untuttable Speed | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Point | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Granfathersleugirl | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Los Suenos | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy Girl | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shesabarhopper | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ballerina Boogie | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Crider | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C M Dubai | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rooster Bullet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Etbauer’s Ide | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Montbrooks Miracle | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stick | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stihl Harbor | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jade Star | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Poppa Go | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | E Lee | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Barkeeper | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River Pride | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gasolina | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Becky’s Dude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Sharp Pal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Em | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oleta Inez | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Call | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Space Cowgirl | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sarah’s Prayer | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rossmoor Way | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sacred Sounds | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m a Great Rebel | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drama Specialist | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Winnie the Roo | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sixteen Punches | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blowin Your Mind | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fender Baby | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Taylor | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intensified | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Loveinsky | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allstar Superstar | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laine’s Song | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smokey Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Emerald Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Apple Dapple | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shallow River | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Story Time | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Laneys Love | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Note to Selfie | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stephanie’s City | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Shanghai Woman | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Madam Lindalou | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Acadian Driftwood | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Peggys Ouest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Saffron Spirit | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tell Your Mama | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Victory | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Socks | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flash N Go | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Muskarella | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Yankee | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracles Yankee | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Idea | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Thegoodwitch | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flowinwiththebreez | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Alina’s Image | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scottish Bu | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ole Black Magic | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s Greater | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Risen Cork | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | One Song | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ranger Connection | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Billie K | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Liz’s Legend | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Keelies Tea Party | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Casey’s Doll | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Junes’s Choice | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.