February 14, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mikey’s Mouse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zens Secret | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Supersonicsong | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Old Pep N Step | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Shining Star | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Truly the One | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debdurite | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kool Yankee | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Slew | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Gabe | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Pal Kay | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brown’s Monkey | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Dame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Beauty | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Creation | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brenda’s an I Full | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D D’s Delight | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kiwi Cat | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Boat | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Time | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixieland Flash | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sassy Mallory | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Trip | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Racin Rebel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Clever Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Step to the Bar | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet Again | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat On the Roof | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Angelbaby | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | History Earned | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Doug’s My Daddy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Such | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Sharp Lewie | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Too Tuff to Cry | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | She’sgotthebeat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She’s Got Moxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bernadettes Vision | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stumberg | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Thief | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel d’Oro | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midge’s Magic | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devilish Sound | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Ava Claire | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yella Wally Gator | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Shot | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Word of the Day | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nina Loca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gio Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Doc’s Denita | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Charlotte Ann | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shrew Grit | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Speedpoint | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Jewel of the Sky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fiery Flash | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Sassy’s Back | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Show’em the Heat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Theboyzblues | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Custom for Corales | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Icon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Gianna | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kelley’s Dream | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Realmente Calmada | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’wild Irish Rose | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Launchabind | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Val’s Pal | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jewels of Sorce | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Ribbon Girl | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Data Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Friendly and Kind | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Sugar | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skipadee Due Da | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | And She Scores | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Superstitious Swan | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Guretta | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy and Rich | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Fore Kicks | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | A Song for Sarah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blowing Bayou | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lagniappe | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Michelle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cohenscollegefund | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flying Bling | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mamma Says | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wilmington | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Titanium Pledge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trumps Revenge | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brian’s Spirit | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Hotel | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherry Freeze | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Puma Rocket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hugo’s Last Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s Got Game | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Callmechamp | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s an Honest Man | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Grand | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alys Appointment | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Max Our Man | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victory Bind | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashyboy Bobb | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Look Happy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Remember Me Pop | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.