February 15, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Sign | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purple Heart Road | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Rockstar | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Journey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doc’s Mescalero | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Crush | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Heart | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Let’s Go Boss | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ipidate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistling Wind | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Herbie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunday’s Mistake | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heisayankee | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Primetime Tiz | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Custom | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bentonville | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boots and Saddle | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smok’n Rita | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Song for Heddings | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Madelyns On | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Zing | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Half Time Allie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Mom | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Binding Magic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shaboxxo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Colonial Power | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Parade | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arkansas Martini | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shedrow Cocktails | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cajun Star | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Youve Got a Friend | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salutetheprince | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Gator | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Killingit | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Gosh Becky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Two Two’s Legacy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunshine Deelite | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sister Annette | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vindicated Diamond | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grace of David | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dustwhirl Wonder | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Southern Dudette | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jeweled Crown | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ebb | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Shasta | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Hiclass Production | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | My Pal Viv | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Uknowiaintlying | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Desert Empress | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Yonna She Goes | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tricky Creed | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Active Girl | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Byanymeans | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cookin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Coulee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Set Hut | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Class Won | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mars Curiosity | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Value | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyzdelight | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swiss Wager | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiddlers Farewell | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Melody | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Machete | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Catalogue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Junket | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Pin (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Extirpator | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapnow | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valyrian | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Union Salute | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Hoga | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cavallotto | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Landonese | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toga | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D’rock | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Foolish Prince | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Express | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blushing Dreamer | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Methuselah | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Inagent | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Soldiers Letter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Help Is On the Way | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | St Ava | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | You Have a Point | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wewoka | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last Destiny | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finest Kylie | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock City Deva | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Girl | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Roll On Baby | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kohensrising | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.