February 21, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ladie Verrazano | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pharme’s Phling | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anthony’s Girl | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Easton Empress | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Joy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ide B a Soldier | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whistling Harper | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runpeggyrun | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Feisty Annette | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosemary O | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Day | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gg’s Gracefulgabby | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elle Les Yu | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Babe | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | D’wild Muffin | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allstar Superstar | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suckerforagrey | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Green Lakes | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kubo Cat | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G Cisive | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racin Rebel | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Beauxart | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drewtempo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scissor Bill | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Amazon | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jaded Rose | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracles Yankee | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Fashion Amour | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Own the Night | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shy Ruston | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Henny | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Like a Haint | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thegoodwitch | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Chrome | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Bu | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monie’s Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aunya Ruling | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | St. Pete’s Crown | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Asap | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jr’s Sauvage | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Savannah Dandy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Alot | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mister Ander | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Dude | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whooz the King | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ray’s King | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Cissy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Four Princesses | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yours and Mine | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Selene’s Argument | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dueforadate | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blazing Sensation | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Princess | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quick Rae Rae | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Pay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hunter’s Humor | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Candy My Boy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left Coast Dreams | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dr. Zipcity | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | U S Officer | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A We Bit Flirty | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Buck Dynasty | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Judge Dixon | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | That’s D ‘cat | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flying Honeypot | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drena’s Star | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Colors | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luna de Loco | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U S Special Forces | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Temprano | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Berko | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plot Twist | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready Prospector | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Why Joey Why | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fleetwood | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pointman | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delicious | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Prince | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zinny’s Miracle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indulgences | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U Complete Me | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supersonicsong | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Relentless Attack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Church of England | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fix D Fence | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Puma Rocket | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Massive Punch | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Emma’s Logic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Trickey Run | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hugo’s Last Song | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angle’s Angel | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carterjameslove | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goodeagle | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Vincenator | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.