February 22, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Huffs Taz a Boo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Heartsetsmeonfire |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
C C Harris |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Cruze |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take Charge Easy |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silver Zephyr |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Successful Shot |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Keep the Commish |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Calmack |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
I’m a C Looker |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unbraided |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Forum Form |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Beat Goes On |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Etbauer’s Ide |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Chief Knockaway |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Leavethetip |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Passing Simon |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Stanton C |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Just Hadley |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Don’t Tell Stacy |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beautiful Bev |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Areyouinaband |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Half Heroine |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Accustomed to Hope |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Granfathersleugirl |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tee Nah Nah |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shouldacouldawould |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wildly Grand |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Binds Fair Lass |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Montbrooks Miracle |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
He’s a Super Jet |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mustang Eddie |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Charlie Ballado |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yonadixie |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
On Cycle |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tap That Word |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gasolina |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Witty Cry |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Dr. Frankie Kaye |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Miss Billie K |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Safe Keeping |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Racin Christina |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Keeping Time |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Inseparable |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lady King |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Honest Smile |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Anita Bonita |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Juno’s Starlet |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Flyin Artie |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eight Grand |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just a Bandit |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Conspicuous Woman |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sassy Pants Susie |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starry Ide Elaine |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Her High Road |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Rockin’rouxs Best |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Catlab |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Meseta Diablo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Heir of Storm |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Devil’s Pay |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fancy This |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sassy Moe |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ben’s Magic Stone |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Big Maurice |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
My Pal Torres |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Zoot Suit |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Scrutinizer |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
3 |
Data Driven |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
1 |
Irritator |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Speightsong |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Resilience of Love |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Wild Bert |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Yeowzer |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
1 |
Ahoymycaptain |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Mr. Graceful |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Watch My Smoke |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2B |
5 |
Randy Paul |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Divine Holiday |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Cap Rock Miner |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
1 |
Actif One |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Humorous Kitten |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Smooth Fantasy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
She’s Ours |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Samurai’s Prize |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
High Hopes Dance |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Ranger Connection |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Smoothoutthetrack |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Adieu My Baby |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Ratatouille |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Risen Cork |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Money Sunk |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
9 |
Mylie Idel |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.