February 23, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Aunya Ruling | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Data Central | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Dansant | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Nation | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dyna Ghost | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overknight | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dock On the Bay | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Village | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zebedee Zered | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mickey’s Halo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spotapotamus | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose Needs a Check | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Social Misfit | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Zackarooney | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Macandales | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lucky Andy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Elitch | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | B Brazin | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hardly Seen Slim | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Louisiana Moon | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Exacta | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Top Ten Duchess | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Front Money Morgan | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flash Hands | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Amelia | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Mabelee | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Fine Pinot | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Sweet One | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noah Knows | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Boss | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Sniper | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Hideaway | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be the Light | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Countach | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gato Caliente | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Skipadee Due Da | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lady Loretta | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Point At Z Baby | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Seattle Firm | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Emma’s Gift | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Wait N C Spring | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Zarba’s Charm | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | La Reina Isabel | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Celtic Lass | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | My Ruston | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Grand Tribute | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Adrenaline | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Nite Out | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galaxy’s Preston | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Raise You | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brazoswildcat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cookie | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Bud | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Fiery Flash | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hesa Fancy Boy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colfax | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sobriquiet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Debriyn | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landing Man | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellerbe | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E Porto | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Stop Kohen | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Man Behind the Bar | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R. V.’s Express | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Hero | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dorcheat Zarb | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Magnanimus Man | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stihl Harbor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lass Song | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Players Gonna Play | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormation | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Benny Colors | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spinning Pegasus | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lukes Bad Boy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Commission | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Band Apart | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Little Rosy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | See What’s What | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Clutchin | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jamminformel | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinky Kim | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fanny Box | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Argument Won | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Can Fly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Rules | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing a Saint | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mauk Power | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Promised Youhuff | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | F J’s Pal | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Relentless Attack | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sovol | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Potomac Two Step | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shermaesque Flag | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kannon’s Bad Boy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.