February 27, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Purim King | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | See Carlos Run | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shae’s Day | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Atlantic Ruler | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Heath | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Song | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J C’s in Town | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pre Heat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blushing Dreamer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Glory Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Run My Pal | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inagent | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hermano T K | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Red Sensation | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sobriquiet | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point of America | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halos Prayer | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peerage | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Richter | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’wildsummersfun | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Noah’s Prince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shot On Windy Hill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Good Air | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brutalize | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dave At the Helm | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Bucket List | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Round Quarter | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grip Tight | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash of Pepper | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Prince | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Behinda Angel | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Waycross | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Gus’s Tizzy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | On the Take | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fire Blaster | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Shining Star | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chaosmos | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Correa | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Successful Ryker | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Titanium Bill | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drewstormin | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Navy Typist | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Soldiers Letter | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | D’rocketman | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Colliery | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Bind | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disapproval | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | County Coroner | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Man | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunnyonastormyday | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sholtz | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyzhour | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Any Ole Thing | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Christeana’s Kiss | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil China | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honest Woman | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs. McGillicuddy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frenzy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winnie the Roo | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poker Fever Gal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Smart Cat | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Cat | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mamadancesinthesky | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jolie Gee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Harlans Warrior | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Kitty | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drama Specialist | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Soul Seekin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casey’s Doll | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pleasant Buffy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Excitable Girl | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D Spyz | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unconventional | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glory Be True | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grand Tuner | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Nap | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Street | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Had a Baby | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ole Black Magic | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beauley | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Data Girl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Fore Kicks | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy and Rich | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Girl | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shrew Grit | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbies Reason | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supersport Sally | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chiles Legacy | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen E | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance for Joy | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Memory Taker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eldon’s Jet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cold Widow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Little Rockstar | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doc’s Gold | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Heart | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | History Earned | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Soldier | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bet Again | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Avaskentuckydream | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lenape Drive | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.