March 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Mile R Meaux |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
A Flash of Copper |
2.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tee’s Black Irish |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Makeithappen |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captain’s Song |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Pay the Dream |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
A P’s Winner |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noah Knows |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Charlie’sarchangel |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Natealyze |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Catch Me If U Can |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Will Stand |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fire Makers Star |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Majestic Sign |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mayhaw Jelly |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guilty Maverick |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brian’s Spirit |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mangelsen |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Meditate |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Aunya Ruling |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mister Ander |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spring Rodeo |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
War Dude |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
St. Pete’s Crown |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whistling Teton |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Savannah Dandy |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Andy’s Legacy |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Private Reality |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bonecrushervincent |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Wewoka |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Pulchritude |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Running Unbridled |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Jolie Gee |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Becky’s Dude |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Honey Hearts |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Queen of Gypsies |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
I’m a Great Rebel |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
9 |
A Toast to Gertie |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Palmettovowmenot |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
10 |
I Call |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Angelic Kriss |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Song of the Nile |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Harlan’s Rhythm |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tale of the Prince |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Cane |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Strollin Spree |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Our Bermuda |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Grand Little Man |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sovol |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Chris’ Redding |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Flashyboy Bobb |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Taste for Talent |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nate’s Attack |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inspire Courage |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Junket |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Handsome Harve |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hardly Seen Slim |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Buck Dynasty |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Landonese |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Forestry’s Buddy |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Angie’s Bling |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hunters Appeal |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Madiba |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Watch My Smoke |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Class Won |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fire Lake |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beautiful Game |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
My New Guiter |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speedy Fellar |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forestdungone |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grand Hoga |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Drewmisterio |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Final Argument |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Kapenta |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Graceful |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zendelphian |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Lydgate |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
So Sorry Ruston |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Biblical Strength |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
B Brazin |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Legendary Larry |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
In Full Swing |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gg’s Gracefulgabby |
2.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malila |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Glossy |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sharp Henny |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Old Fashion Amour |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heaven’s Devil |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thegoodwitch |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Keen Move |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Doeny Sparks |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Send Her Marie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Bayouland Star |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Riskytawfeerstango |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sarahs Lucky Charm |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sarah’s Valley |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Myjobismylife |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fearless Dixie |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jozzy Bell |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
One Special One |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Brodys Lil Lady |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.