March 7, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holy Smoke Mama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Averys Miss | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Madelyns On | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halos Storm | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Sunk | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Humorous Kitten | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Atlantic Zing | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Victorious Gold | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Diamond for Crider | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Run Trickey Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Kay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Drewmatic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Primetime Tiz | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brown’s Monkey | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Town Boss | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zens Secret | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Valid Argument | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Truly the One | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Beaubouef | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Derwin’s Miner | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Flashy Image | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flash Hands | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ide B a Soldier | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guest Appearance | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Da Due Run Run | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Island Blue | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gal | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party With Kassidy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mallory’s On | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hanging Lake | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Crider | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ladygogently | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Kelcorcee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Intimidator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Beat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Only Liquor | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Blu | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Ide | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swiss Wager | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Posse Dreamin | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Coulee | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Cal | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mars Curiosity | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Sup | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roses n’ Rubies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Leap Baby Leap | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southpine Gift | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m d’Cat | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Six Grand | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yakadaddy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cool Individual | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | G Cisive | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | B Rasen | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Canyon Fire | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheltowee’s Loca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Another Level | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wrap It Up | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crickadee | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hunky Dory | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Angel d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Avery Lynn | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bevos Winch | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Poopsie Doopsie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sunday’s Mistake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Successful Shot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Resilience of Love | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Want a Picture | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crimson Jet | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bayou Bode | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Justice | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Glory Music | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | It’s a Sweet One | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Confederate Yell | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Sang Dixie | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Val’s Pal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky for Us | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Inca | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pep N Flight | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Realmente Calmada | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyzblues | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jewels of Sorce | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Woman | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elektracutioner | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Millie | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getupbabygetup | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run to Glory | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Liz | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doc’s Rocket | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapindeed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toomuch | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suckerforagrey | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapnow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beta Lake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Eye Cloud | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Late Nite Mischief | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Landofthepharaohs | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rocktizway | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dauntless Prince | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catalogue | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Relentless Attack | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Callmechamp | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Church of England | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jack’s Got Game | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alluring Actor | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talkothtown | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alys Appointment | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zarb’s Pistol | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Can Fly | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fooling Jay | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Look Happy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lily Rhett | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sharp Alex | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.