Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 8, 2019

March 8, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mizzen Colony 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Glorieta 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Temperit 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Smok’n Rita 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Zimm’s Lemon Drop 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 American Mom 10.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Binding Magic 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Toshita Forever 30.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Honest Tina 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Arctic Peace 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Rockin Sunday Mass 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Half a Million 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Lovely Charlie 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Elusive Pal 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Fiji D 12.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ten P M 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Beautiful Bev 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Dial Em In 1.40 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wildly Grand 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 This Is My Prayer 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Crispy Creed 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Sethamee Street 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Ms Louisa 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Queen Shasta 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bayou Tigre 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 Broke and Praying 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just You Wait 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Flashy Kitty 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Sarge’s Daughter 1.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Rockin Rah Rah 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Crescent Lace 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Yes Babe 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Own the Night 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Green Lakes 12.00 3 6-1
10 8 Chloe Raven 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Tiz the Time 20.00 3.8 7-1
11 9 Wildcat Beauty 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 C M Dubai 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Smokey Rose 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sweet and Spicy 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Doc’s Denita 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 1 Lorrie G 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Custom for Carlita 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 8 Half Heroine 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Granfathersleugirl 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Shesthecatsmeow 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Bama Girl 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Speedpoint 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Fickle Flash 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lady Loretta 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Miso Smooth 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sister Ashlee 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Skipadee Due Da 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 War Spirit 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Greeley’s Doll 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 La Reina Isabel 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Castle Zip 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Seveneightnine 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Purely Blessed 30.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Kilasa 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Favorite Promise 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Frenzy 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Selene’s Argument 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 New Year’s Party 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Dr. Frankie Kaye 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Yours and Mine 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Samurai’s Prize 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Quick Rae Rae 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mamadancesinthesky 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Agirlnamedsyd 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Star Countess 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Deep End 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 My Pal Em 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tags to Riches 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Whitebutton 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Yella Wally Gator 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pretty Production 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Miss Wekati 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Mrs. McGillicuddy 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Harlans Warrior 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Mac’s Is Ruling 15.00 2.9 5-1
10 8 Stumberg 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 6 Midge’s Magic 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Word of the Day 15.00 3.8 7-1
12 9 Grand Fais Do Do 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Alpha Sue 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Drinking Dixie 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Naughty Me 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Taylor’s Spirit 0.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Flat Out Flirty 15.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Girl Thirsty 20.00 3 6-1
10 9 Fetching Fury 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Miss Loveinsky 30.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Miss Cissy 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Scarlet’s Causeway 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Americium 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Arch Arch Baby 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Inspeightof 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Testing One Two 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Maline 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Saffron Spirit 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cause You Can 30.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 White Oak Swamp 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Glitz N Glam 1.20 2.4 4-1
1 1 Mary B Good 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Scottish Bu 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Camrynsbigtimebaby 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 My Ruston 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Rina Good 30.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Excitable Girl 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Pulchritude 30.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 You Could Be Mine 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gabriela’s Tears 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ranger Connection 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Toga Dance 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 We Can Dream 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Risen Cork 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Red Light Zone 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Inseparable 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Lucky Slippers 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Miss Uruguay 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Adieu My Baby 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Kohensrising 30.00 4.2 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.