March 8, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mizzen Colony |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Glorieta |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Temperit |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smok’n Rita |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zimm’s Lemon Drop |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Mom |
10.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Binding Magic |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Toshita Forever |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Honest Tina |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arctic Peace |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rockin Sunday Mass |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Half a Million |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lovely Charlie |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Elusive Pal |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fiji D |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Ten P M |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Beautiful Bev |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dial Em In |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wildly Grand |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
This Is My Prayer |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crispy Creed |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sethamee Street |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ms Louisa |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen Shasta |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bayou Tigre |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Broke and Praying |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Just You Wait |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Flashy Kitty |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Sarge’s Daughter |
1.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rockin Rah Rah |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Crescent Lace |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Yes Babe |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Own the Night |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Green Lakes |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Chloe Raven |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Tiz the Time |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
9 |
Wildcat Beauty |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
C M Dubai |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Smokey Rose |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sweet and Spicy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Doc’s Denita |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lorrie G |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Custom for Carlita |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Half Heroine |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Granfathersleugirl |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Shesthecatsmeow |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bama Girl |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Speedpoint |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Fickle Flash |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Lady Loretta |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Miso Smooth |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Sister Ashlee |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skipadee Due Da |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
War Spirit |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greeley’s Doll |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Reina Isabel |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Castle Zip |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seveneightnine |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Purely Blessed |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kilasa |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Favorite Promise |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Frenzy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Selene’s Argument |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
New Year’s Party |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dr. Frankie Kaye |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yours and Mine |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Samurai’s Prize |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quick Rae Rae |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mamadancesinthesky |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Agirlnamedsyd |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Star Countess |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Deep End |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Pal Em |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Tags to Riches |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Whitebutton |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Yella Wally Gator |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pretty Production |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Wekati |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mrs. McGillicuddy |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Harlans Warrior |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mac’s Is Ruling |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
8 |
Stumberg |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Midge’s Magic |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Word of the Day |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
9 |
Grand Fais Do Do |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Alpha Sue |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Drinking Dixie |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Naughty Me |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Taylor’s Spirit |
0.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flat Out Flirty |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Girl Thirsty |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Fetching Fury |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Loveinsky |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Miss Cissy |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scarlet’s Causeway |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Americium |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arch Arch Baby |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inspeightof |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Testing One Two |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maline |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saffron Spirit |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cause You Can |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
White Oak Swamp |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Glitz N Glam |
1.20 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mary B Good |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scottish Bu |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Camrynsbigtimebaby |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Ruston |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rina Good |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Excitable Girl |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pulchritude |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
You Could Be Mine |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Gabriela’s Tears |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Ranger Connection |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toga Dance |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
We Can Dream |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Risen Cork |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Light Zone |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Inseparable |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lucky Slippers |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Uruguay |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Adieu My Baby |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kohensrising |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.