March 9, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Invest | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Papa Jim | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tizgame | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oh My Papa | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Cause | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Neper | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D S Advantage | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daddy D T | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incubator | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halloween Horror | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretentious | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Week | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mom I Forgive You | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redouble | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karabessa | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Controllingthegold | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Emily | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sage | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swaggerette | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glencairn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devine Dental | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Langdarma | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haul Anchor | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Rider | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Three to Thirteen | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ro Bear | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Story | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hokulea | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystical Song | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phone Funky Munky | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eddie Boy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Twenty Nine | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dublin Leprechaun | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Third Card Down | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Trouble for Skylar | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Itsjustnotyourday | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Votre Coeur | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Viradia | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Midnight Crossing | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jacqueline D | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ma Mo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catania Rose | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ocean Conquest | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Princess | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Warrens Vengeance | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stabilize | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | No Stone Unturned | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Infatuation | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saratoga Style | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pascha Pascha | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double the Bet | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s a Lumberjane | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gypsy Mama | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Fool H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bavaro | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life in Shambles | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Syndergaard | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Do Share | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Raison | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fully Vested | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Stymie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Ridge | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stan the Man | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shivermetimbers | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vino Rosso | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Title Ready | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Honor | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Night | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Welcome | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Instagrand | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mind Control | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Much Better | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not That Brady | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knicks Go | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haikal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tikhvin Flew | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Family Biz | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Busher S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shelley Ann | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | It Justhitthe Wire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Always Shopping | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Please Flatter Me | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxy Lady | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Orra Moor | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Shot | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ujjayi | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dovey Lovey | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Filly Joel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excess Capacity | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enliven | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.