March 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Star Nova |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dance for Joy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Overly Sweet |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Shrew Grit |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Handsome Girl |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bobbies Reason |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Claire’s Flair |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
My Little Jen |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Supersport Sally |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bliss La Vie |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Chiles Legacy |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
9 |
All in Bronson |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
E Lee |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Just Run Skiny Run |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
A Band Apart |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Jade Star |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
8 |
Sharp Machete |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
King’s Share |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Passing Simon |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Atdabarwithmerrill |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Burning Runner |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
River Pride |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Whistling Ranger |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
9 |
Fast Time Streaker |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Love That Warrior |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Runaway Ringbearer |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
The Flush King |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
See Carlos Run |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zippit Zippy |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pure Valor |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Warrior |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sky Dinski |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Don’t Look |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Production |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
St Basil |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Classic Heath |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Rooster Bullet |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Rickshaw Express |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Skylas Gold |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Song N a Cat |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heartland Hit |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
River Bobcat |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smart Prospector |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Personal Double |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Commission |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
I Rate First |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coach Johnny |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kelcorcee |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Last Heart |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Clever Lad |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Son of Patriot |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Jack’s Kiss |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
History Earned |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Doc’s Gold |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lenape Drive |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Bet Again |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Dancing Soldier |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
8 |
My Little Rockstar |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Avaskentuckydream |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Cape Town Willy |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shedrow Cocktails |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Dry Wood Creek |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hewhofillsmyheart |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Colonial Power |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Perfect Parade |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lip Service |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Left Coast Dreams |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Killingit |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Chief Knockaway |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Devil’s Pay |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cale’s Gold |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Beau Gator |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gus’s Tizzy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Monsieur Brown |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
First to Score |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Delicious |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Point of America |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
E Porto |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dewey’s Sunshine |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yankee Express |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Landing Man |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Cat’s Shining Star |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Valid Prospector |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
9 |
Ellerbe |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Fiddlers Farewell |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
11 |
Double Barrel Man |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bending Saint |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Galaxy Builder |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Bert |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Calimor |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luke’s Cajun Star |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
C C Harris |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Pal Torres |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
O’L Red |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Outofthisgalaxy |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Roundabout Robbie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Saved by Zero |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tapster |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Artist by the Sea |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jersey Bullet |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Players Gonna Play |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patriot Father |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Benny Colors |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Debriyn |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ten Silver Pins |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gary |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ride a Saint |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Extirpator |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Mageez |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
G’s Turn |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Line Judge |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mocito Rojo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just Stormin |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gentrified |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Book |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Berko |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mistake Present |
30.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Ruler |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
11 |
9 |
Trumps Revenge |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Ipidate |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Run Trickey Run |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pointman |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
U Complete Me |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Genuide |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Indulgences |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Dad Louie |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Toast to Michael |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Geaux Easy |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Supersonicsong |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sarvelio |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
They’ll Seeintime |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Overlyappealing |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Graceful Rules |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Oliver’s Prayer |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dream Nation |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Asap |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jr’s Sauvage |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mauk Power |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Callmechamp |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saint Dansant |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Max Our Man |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miss Billie K |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Village |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.