Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 9, 2019

March 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Star Nova 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dance for Joy 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Overly Sweet 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Shrew Grit 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Handsome Girl 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Bobbies Reason 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Claire’s Flair 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 My Little Jen 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Supersport Sally 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Bliss La Vie 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Chiles Legacy 15.00 4.1 8-1
12 9 All in Bronson 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 E Lee 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Just Run Skiny Run 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 A Band Apart 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jade Star 3.50 1.9 4-1
10 8 Sharp Machete 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 King’s Share 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Passing Simon 5.00 3 6-1
9 7 Atdabarwithmerrill 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Burning Runner 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 River Pride 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Whistling Ranger 10.00 3.5 7-1
11 9 Fast Time Streaker 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Love That Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Runaway Ringbearer 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 The Flush King 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 See Carlos Run 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Zippit Zippy 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Pure Valor 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Smooth Warrior 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Sky Dinski 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Don’t Look 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Mr. Production 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 St Basil 30.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Classic Heath 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rooster Bullet 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rickshaw Express 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Skylas Gold 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Song N a Cat 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Heartland Hit 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 River Bobcat 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Smart Prospector 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Personal Double 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Big Commission 30.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 I Rate First 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Coach Johnny 30.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Kelcorcee 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Last Heart 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Clever Lad 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Son of Patriot 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jack’s Kiss 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 History Earned 1.80 1.9 4-1
8 6 Doc’s Gold 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lenape Drive 30.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Bet Again 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Dancing Soldier 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 8 My Little Rockstar 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Avaskentuckydream 15.00 3 6-1
4 3 Cape Town Willy 30.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shedrow Cocktails 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dry Wood Creek 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hewhofillsmyheart 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Colonial Power 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 3 Perfect Parade 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 1 Lip Service 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Left Coast Dreams 15.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Killingit 4.50 3.1 6-1
10 9 Chief Knockaway 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Devil’s Pay 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Cale’s Gold 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Beau Gator 30.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gus’s Tizzy 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Monsieur Brown 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 First to Score 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Delicious 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Point of America 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 E Porto 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dewey’s Sunshine 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Yankee Express 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Landing Man 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Cat’s Shining Star 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Valid Prospector 30.00 4 8-1
12 9 Ellerbe 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fiddlers Farewell 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Double Barrel Man 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bending Saint 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Galaxy Builder 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Wild Bert 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Calimor 20.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Luke’s Cajun Star 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 C C Harris 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 My Pal Torres 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 O’L Red 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Outofthisgalaxy 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Roundabout Robbie 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Saved by Zero 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Tapster 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Artist by the Sea 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Jersey Bullet 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Players Gonna Play 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Patriot Father 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Benny Colors 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Debriyn 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ten Silver Pins 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Gary 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ride a Saint 15.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Extirpator 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mageez 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 G’s Turn 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Line Judge 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mocito Rojo 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Just Stormin 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Gentrified 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 My Book 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Berko 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mistake Present 30.00 4 7-1
8 8 Midnight Ruler 10.00 4 7-1
11 9 Trumps Revenge 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ipidate 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Run Trickey Run 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pointman 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 U Complete Me 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Genuide 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Indulgences 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 My Dad Louie 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Toast to Michael 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Geaux Easy 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Supersonicsong 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sarvelio 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 They’ll Seeintime 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Overlyappealing 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Graceful Rules 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oliver’s Prayer 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Dream Nation 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Asap 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jr’s Sauvage 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mauk Power 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Callmechamp 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Saint Dansant 30.00 4 8-1
8 8 Max Our Man 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Miss Billie K 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Village 12.00 4.8 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.