March 9, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bee Keeper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vettel | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theregoesjojo | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Desiderato | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Mission | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bunyan’s Axe | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hard Worker | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jost Do It | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mountain Division | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Honor This | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Takedown | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Family Kitten | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pirate’s Treasure | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Mac Cool | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manhattan Project | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Bili | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mass Approval | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Silks Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vision Perfect | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imprimis | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pay Any Price | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singandcryindubai | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fixed Point | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apache Brave | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Long Chuck | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uber Kirk | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time On Target | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parade Blue | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomater Gator | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Belle | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beau Trace | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can U Handle This | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tangled Web | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessd by the Best | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glory of Florida | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notorious Nick | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Success | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Primo Posto | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Totono | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Off the Mark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Frenchmen Street | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Gone Gone | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powerful Venezuela | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coop Tries Harder | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scotuscare | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sarasota County | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bullgrats | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Equifox | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Irish Willow | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shoobiedoobydoo | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preferred Guest | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Jackie | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kettle Valley | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avenida Manana | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Music Major | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rising Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Oh Danny Bear | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth As | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Littleroughjustice | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Your Step | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crown Romance | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Florida Two Step | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Interest | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Drill | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Juan | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bibliotecario | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sweeter Than Wine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Queen Brunette | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panther Hit | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Getmotherarose | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Finest | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Recess | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Premium Motion | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surplus Gold | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rollick | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s Proud | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honolua Bay | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | National Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sturgeon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Macagone | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tathqeef | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tweet Kitten | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Chunnel | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bantu | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argentic (FR) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drop Kick | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Golden Decision | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going for Gold | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promo Code | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greater Cairo | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Will Remember | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skywriting | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Island Boy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unveiling | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Affairs | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Captiva Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swayed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Morticia | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fear No Evil | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goldwood | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Samara | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mominou | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Misericordia (GB) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Surf | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ebullient | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Triumphant | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Fera | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tail Feather | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Peace | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Come Storming | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bambalina | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finer Things | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pagalo in Avanti | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moldy Money | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.