Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, March 12, 2019

March 12, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hoops Cigar 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 No More for U 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Pat Me Down 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Halfourretirement 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Sir Etney John 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Mr. Priority 3.00 3 6-1
7 6 Step to the Bar 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 Caeus in Pasadena 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Custom Vision 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bernadettes Vision 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Cheryl’s Copy 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Bubbas Lucky Spell 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Ensign 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Blessed Bloom 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Yankee’s Fanny 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Princess Gianna 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Diamond Thief 30.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Gentlemen’s Girl 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 D’wild Irish Rose 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncomplicated 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Just Hadley 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 C M Dubai 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Lil Ms Bossy Pants 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Blue Suede Ransom 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Fort Polk 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hey Zarby 30.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Temple City Darlin 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Kozy’s Prayer 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Ethel Eileen 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 One Tizzy Trick 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Departed 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Miso Smooth 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Elegant Idea 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Blessed Song 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Double Down Britt 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Go Selma T 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Facets of Ice 30.00 3 6-1
5 5 Miss Sid N Say 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ide Stang You 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Red Fern Doll 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Come On Nancy 30.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Queezee Proud 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Promise Tender 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 It’s Mike’s Turn 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Pierpont 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Saved by Zero 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Sound of the Tap 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Spring Value 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Big Em C 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Philly 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Theboyzdelight 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Mr. Gibbs 30.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Independent Worker 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Core Portfolio 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 It’s All Up to You 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Set Hut 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Bagpipes 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 1 Our Smitty 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 My Buddy Chuck 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Go Poppa Go 20.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 He’s a Lady Tamer 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Arkansas Martini 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Blue Forty Two 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Salute the C 15.00 3.4 6-1
11 9 Hewhofillsmyheart 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Rifle Man 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Logan’s Reward 8.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Drewsizzle 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 5 Noisey Boy 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 1 Taken Back 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Rose Needs a Check 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 3 Star Anne 15.00 3 6-1
4 2 Lucky Inferno 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Exton 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Zacksgotthis 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Cool Production 20.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Out Late 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Zyanara 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Galaxy Thirtysix 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Indian Gem 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Lucy’s Revenge 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Yes Gorgeous 3.50 2 4-1
5 4 Flat Out Big Money 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Lefthoofrightleft 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Cat’s Eternalflame 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Socks 15.00 4.2 8-1
11 9 Yonna She Goes 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 On a Heater 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Seeyainthetestbarn 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pacific Song 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Donna’s Court 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Addaichi 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Clever Racer 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Kool Yankee 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Captain Chatain 30.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 King Zippy 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lil Gabe 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Cachito 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Pinchout 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 12 Hidden Data 1.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Scissor Bill 15.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Paynt Battle 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 1 When I Do 6.00 2 4-1
8 7 Dad Said No 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Bailey’s Power 12.00 2.9 5-1
10 9 Scrimmage 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Thunder Box 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Morning Surprise 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Caesar Point 30.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Ville Platte 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Mr. Beauxart 20.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.