March 12, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hoops Cigar |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
No More for U |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Pat Me Down |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Halfourretirement |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sir Etney John |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Mr. Priority |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Step to the Bar |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Caeus in Pasadena |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Custom Vision |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Bernadettes Vision |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Cheryl’s Copy |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bubbas Lucky Spell |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ensign |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blessed Bloom |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yankee’s Fanny |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princess Gianna |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Diamond Thief |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Gentlemen’s Girl |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
D’wild Irish Rose |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Uncomplicated |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Just Hadley |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
C M Dubai |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Lil Ms Bossy Pants |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Suede Ransom |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Fort Polk |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hey Zarby |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Temple City Darlin |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kozy’s Prayer |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ethel Eileen |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
One Tizzy Trick |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Departed |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Miso Smooth |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Elegant Idea |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Blessed Song |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Double Down Britt |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Go Selma T |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Facets of Ice |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Sid N Say |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ide Stang You |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Red Fern Doll |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Come On Nancy |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Queezee Proud |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Promise Tender |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
It’s Mike’s Turn |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pierpont |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saved by Zero |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sound of the Tap |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spring Value |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Em C |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Philly |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Theboyzdelight |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Gibbs |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Independent Worker |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Core Portfolio |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
It’s All Up to You |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Set Hut |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Bagpipes |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Our Smitty |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
My Buddy Chuck |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Go Poppa Go |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
He’s a Lady Tamer |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Arkansas Martini |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Blue Forty Two |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Salute the C |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
9 |
Hewhofillsmyheart |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Rifle Man |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
11 |
Logan’s Reward |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
6 |
Drewsizzle |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Noisey Boy |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
1 |
Taken Back |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Rose Needs a Check |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Star Anne |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Lucky Inferno |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Exton |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Zacksgotthis |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cool Production |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Out Late |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Zyanara |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Galaxy Thirtysix |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Indian Gem |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lucy’s Revenge |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Yes Gorgeous |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Flat Out Big Money |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lefthoofrightleft |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Cat’s Eternalflame |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Socks |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
9 |
Yonna She Goes |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
On a Heater |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Seeyainthetestbarn |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pacific Song |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Donna’s Court |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Addaichi |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clever Racer |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kool Yankee |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Chatain |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
King Zippy |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lil Gabe |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cachito |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pinchout |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
12 |
Hidden Data |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Scissor Bill |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
10 |
Paynt Battle |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
When I Do |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dad Said No |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Bailey’s Power |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Scrimmage |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Thunder Box |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Morning Surprise |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Caesar Point |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ville Platte |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mr. Beauxart |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.