March 17, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candy Carlos 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Greeley’s Dealer 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Maligator 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Satellite 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Cookies Are Good 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Point Hope 3.50 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Great Sky 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Miracle Mountain 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Antarctic 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Good Intent 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Honor Mission 12.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Murry Spur 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Wildscore 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Keeneway 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Celerity 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silver Wing Jim 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kubo Cat 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Joemo 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Striking Star 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Whatafind 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Don Guillermo 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 My Classic Bowtie 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 River King 12.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tudox Lifting Off 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Tiz Cecile 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Brenda’s Fever 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Pugilist 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Majino 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 La Flor 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Four Princesses 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Maid for Mischief 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Harper Bee 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hunker Down 1.40 1.3 2-1
7 7 Outback Jack 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Wicked Proud 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Double Barrel Man 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Blue Choice 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 My Prophet 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gone Lucky 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Waft 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 She’s Our Star 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Kaydees in Town 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Little Girls Rule 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Emily Jo 3.00 2 4-1
4 3 Kick N Kiss 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Bing’s d’Oro 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Bellamy Cay 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Run By 12.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Cajun Music 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 4 Elizabeth’s Music 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Temple of Roses 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Betty Joy’s Star 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Baby Sugar 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 My Madelyns On 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Geauxcro 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Whatelse Igot Todo 2.00 1.5 3-1
1.7 3-1
1 1 Saltee Stark 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Singinginthewind 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Grand Omega 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Chimneyville 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 My Rainey Day 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fides Ratio (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Halfway 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hay Flo 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stephanie’s City 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Broken Oath 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Scary Animal 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Yes It’s Ginger 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Prado’s Encore 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Elle’s Town 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Strikingly Lovely 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Nicholesluckycharm 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Promised Fame 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Appletini 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Puddin’s the Man 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jimjeff 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Aunya Ruling 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 The Rayster 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 You Da Man 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 El Hombre 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Jr’s Sauvage 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Last of the Luck 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mira 30.00 4 8-1
8 8 Ronda’s Custom 30.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.