March 17, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy Carlos | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Dealer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maligator | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Satellite | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cookies Are Good | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Hope | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Great Sky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mountain | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antarctic | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Intent | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Mission | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Murry Spur | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wildscore | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keeneway | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celerity | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silver Wing Jim | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kubo Cat | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joemo | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Star | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whatafind | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don Guillermo | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Classic Bowtie | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River King | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tudox Lifting Off | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Cecile | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brenda’s Fever | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pugilist | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majino | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Flor | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Princesses | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maid for Mischief | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harper Bee | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hunker Down | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outback Jack | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Proud | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Choice | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Prophet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gone Lucky | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Waft | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | She’s Our Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Little Girls Rule | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Emily Jo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kick N Kiss | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bing’s d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellamy Cay | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Run By | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Music | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Elizabeth’s Music | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temple of Roses | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Betty Joy’s Star | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Sugar | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Madelyns On | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Geauxcro | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Saltee Stark | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singinginthewind | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Omega | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chimneyville | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Rainey Day | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Halfway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hay Flo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stephanie’s City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Broken Oath | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scary Animal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes It’s Ginger | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prado’s Encore | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elle’s Town | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strikingly Lovely | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nicholesluckycharm | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Promised Fame | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Appletini | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Puddin’s the Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jimjeff | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunya Ruling | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Rayster | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Da Man | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Hombre | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jr’s Sauvage | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Last of the Luck | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mira | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ronda’s Custom | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.