March 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Cajun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | La Chauffeur | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cassidy’s Smile | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Henny’s Treasure | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot N Sour | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elite Appeal | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Tickets | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Trust | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Michael | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Flying | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Organic Jenny | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth As | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dupree | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Oak Bluffs | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoshone Brave | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Saman | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Spring | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trio of Champions | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Geyser | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Farley | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paint the Corners | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Athera | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prado Vision | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Jubilee | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinyardnina | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Venezuelan Forever | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voila La Victoire (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dance and Dance | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Super Tap | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Padrinoneverquits | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy for All | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Loves It | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blank Canvas | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thorpe d’Oro | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barbarossa | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escarapela | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Blade | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taxman | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranger’s Coming | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | America’s Simmard | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Off the Mark | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Greatness | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | My Mr. Wonderful | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Letters | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spa Jazz | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Max | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Red | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Mover | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape Marco Drive | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alphadar | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Joy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Softball | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conforto | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Beam | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stag of Sylvia | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krammy Boy | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Codeseventyseven | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Il Faraone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nominal Dollars | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gotsomemojo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salt Mine | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreet Heat | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | W W Concerto | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Express Jet | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Love Tree | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Flying Guy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jacks a Warrior | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Isadorable Aida | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Till Dawn | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zabava | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yako | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Watch | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Go Baby | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquesthardcherry | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Drift | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Britesideoftheroad | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Unbridled Cat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Oblio’s Wish | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Crescent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Salsa’s Return | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hunka Burning Love | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Transistor | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hollywood Star | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blame the Thief | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inhibition | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hillsdown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bluesky Kitten | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Am Prepared | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten’s Spa | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyline View | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Sky | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shahkaar | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corinthius | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knokke by the Sea | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Art Object | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.