Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2019

March 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Courageous Cajun 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 La Chauffeur 3.00 1.3 2-1
1.4 3-1
4 3 Lookinlikeaqueen 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 5 Cassidy’s Smile 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Henny’s Treasure 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hot N Sour 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Elite Appeal 10.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Johnny Tickets 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Why Trust 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Saint Michael 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Flat Out Flying 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Organic Jenny 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Smooth As 8.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dupree 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Oak Bluffs 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Shoshone Brave 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gran Saman 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 First Spring 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Trio of Champions 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Geyser 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Farley 20.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paint the Corners 1.40 1.1 2-1
2 2 Athera 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Prado Vision 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Sapphire Jubilee 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Vinyardnina 30.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Venezuelan Forever 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Voila La Victoire (IRE) 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dance and Dance 2.00 1.4 3-1
1.4 3-1
4 4 Super Tap 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Padrinoneverquits 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Candy for All 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 She Loves It 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Blank Canvas 10.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thorpe d’Oro 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Barbarossa 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Escarapela 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Long Blade 2.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Taxman 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ranger’s Coming 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 America’s Simmard 30.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Off the Mark 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Son of Greatness 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.5 3-1
1 1 My Mr. Wonderful 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Irish Letters 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Spa Jazz 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Candy Max 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Gran Red 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Cool Mover 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Cape Marco Drive 30.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alphadar 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Spring Joy 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Another Softball 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Conforto 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Perfect Beam 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Stag of Sylvia 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Krammy Boy 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Codeseventyseven 8.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Il Faraone 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Nominal Dollars 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 6 Gotsomemojo 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Salt Mine 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Discreet Heat 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 W W Concerto 3.50 2.9 6-1
10 9 Express Jet 30.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Love Tree 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 High Flying Guy 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jacks a Warrior 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Isadorable Aida 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dance Till Dawn 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Zabava 15.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Yako 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Night Watch 15.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Let’s Go Baby 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Conquesthardcherry 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sand Drift 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Britesideoftheroad 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Miss Unbridled Cat 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Oblio’s Wish 30.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Crescent 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Salsa’s Return 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 4 Hunka Burning Love 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Transistor 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Hollywood Star 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Blame the Thief 12.00 3 6-1
7 6 Inhibition 10.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hillsdown 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Bluesky Kitten 1.80 1.6 3-1
9 9 Am Prepared 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Kitten’s Spa 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Skyline View 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Empty Sky 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Shahkaar 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Corinthius 30.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Knokke by the Sea 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Art Object 15.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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