Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2019

March 17, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.5 3-1
5 5 Our Lucky Star 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Button Mushroom 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Robyns Luckylizard 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Hamazing Honor 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Anydayoftheweek 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Honduras Pride 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Vansflyingcowgirl 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Aireonblush 10.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.4 3-1
5 5 Mineyerownmalone 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Street Trust 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Doctor Lee 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Treasury Bill 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Indian Gulch 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Husky Clipper 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Shakedown 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Baysider 2.00 1.4 3-1
1.6 3-1
7 7 Ribbon Cane 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Komrad 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Into My Dreams 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Tsali 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Blackjack Jedi 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kentucky Dan 12.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bear Trappe 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Tahana 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 One Man Party 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sambucca 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Knocks Big Thirst 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Town Drunk 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 One Bet From Even 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Courageous One 10.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Stay Determined 2.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Sutton Impact 2.00 0.9 2-1
1.6 3-1
1 1 Mud Light 5.00 2 4-1
5 4 Wildwoodsgreatest 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 7 Greeleys Spirit 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Justice for Themob 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Silver Spun 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 6 Cash for the Soul 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 8 Primal 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Summer’s Indy 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mylady Curlin 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 She’s So Fine 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Lady Cleopatra 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Keep Your Distance 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Holiday’s Angel 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Moonlight Train 8.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Imma Bling 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Powerful Ally 15.00 SCRATCH
1.7 3-1
13A 11 Bolita Boyz 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Nuclear Option 8.00 2.2 4-1
1A 1 The Red Dude 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Mojo Man 3.50 2.6 5-1
11 10 Adios Muchacho 4.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Cowboy Creed 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 W. B. Smudge 15.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Nottoway 30.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Flat Lucky 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Northern Trail 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Pentimento 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Georgia’s Reward 12.00 SCRATCH
1.5 3-1
8 7 Always Enuff 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Ascot Day 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Good Move 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Barbary Hall 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Fairwayngreen 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Create a Star 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Jackson Hill 8.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tres Equis 12.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Candyrock 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bayerd 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Never Give In 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Bow and Arrow 4.50 2.7 5-1
3A 3 Davka 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Tiz Showbiz 10.00 3.3 6-1
12 10 Ceeky 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Coleman Rocky 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Rolin With Olin 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 On the Lam 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Gotta Curlin 15.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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