Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 23, 2019

March 23, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hashtag Speed 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Malasong 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Knockalittlelouder 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Saint William 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fats 5.00 2.4 5-1
9 7 Outlaw X. 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Last Nite Out 20.00 3.2 6-1
12 10 Cypriano 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Quest for Avette 20.00 3.6 7-1
11 9 Mr. Production 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Trevilion 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Swinging Galaxy 30.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crescentcitypretty 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fugitive Lady 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Midnight Fantasy 1.40 1.9 4-1
5 5 Goodprofit 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 D’wildcat Indian 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cicada’s Song 15.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Fortune Got Even 15.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New Orleans Ladies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Homefieldadvantage 30.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Beau Recall (IRE) 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Vagabond Princess 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Flower Party (IRE) 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Lady Mamba 15.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Sensitive 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Hey Niki 20.00 3 6-1
7 6 La Sola Ranger 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Coachwhip 8.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr Makeithappen 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Pal Torres 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Aaron’s Bluff 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Bella Brown 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 7 Charge the Line 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Masterly 10.00 2.5 5-1
11 9 Where Y’at Joe Joe 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 State Treasurer 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Queeten 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Outofthisgalaxy 30.00 3.5 7-1
10 8 Greeley Went West 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Temprano 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Passport Required 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Street Dazzle 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gold Standard 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Temple City Terror 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Meghan 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Freudian Finish 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Be Nimble 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Allonge 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sparkling Champagn 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cirrusly 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Miss Leah Angel (GB) 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Noble Fever 8.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Princesa Blanca 20.00 5 10-1
12 12 Anima 30.00 6.3 12-1
14 14 Whats Yur Story 12.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Trick of the Tail 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sharp Witted 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shang 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Inspector Eddie 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Power Jet 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Jimi’s a Star 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Cabo’s Rumor 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Atlantic Ruler 30.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Jus Lively 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Silver King 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Crocodile Jacques 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Mr. Four Sevens 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Changi 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Cowboys Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Firewater Jake 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crafty Daddy 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dynamic Force 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Rock On Kitten 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Exchequer 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Higher Authority 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jazzy Justin 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Loveatturkeyclub 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Candizar 20.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Slippy 12.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Hitch 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Merlin’s Song 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Stage Ready 15.00 5.7 11-1
14 14 Seek the Peak 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Painted Canyon 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Flatout Winner 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tapit Wise 4.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Awesome Wok N Roll 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Copper King 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Solomonic 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fairway Magic 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Box of Chocolates 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Coworker 30.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Tony Small 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Moment 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Parade Field 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Proschema 30.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Bandit Swanson 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Violent Ways 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wild Bert 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Win Lion Win 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Wonder Run 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Eden Grey’s Kitten 12.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 Afleet Ascent 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Monte Man 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 In the Navy 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Fame Feather 12.00 4.1 8-1
16 14 Divine Bean 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Wild About Star 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Treys Midnite Moon 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Risky Steps 20.00 4.9 9-1
13 12 A Song for Arch 15.00 5.7 11-1
12 11 Roger Brown 12.00 6.3 12-1
14 13 B B Special 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – New Orleans H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Noble Commander 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mo Dont No 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bandua 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Silver Dust 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Lone Sailor 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 2 Souper Tapit 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 8 Copper Bullet 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Noble Indy 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 6 Mr. Buff 6.00 2.9 6-1
11 9 Core Beliefs 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Krewe Chief 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Premio 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Final Copy 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Silver Dust 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bandua 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Synchrony 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Divisidero 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 5 Bricks and Mortar 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Hot Springs 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 6 Inspector Lynley 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Markitoff 20.00 2.9 6-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crescentcitypretty 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Serengeti Empress 1.20 1.2 2-1
3 3 Street Band 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Liora 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Speedette 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Eres Tu 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sweet Diane 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Slewgoodtobetrue 8.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 War of Will 1.20 1.8 3-1
1 1 Roiland 12.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sueno 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lemniscate 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Country House 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 By My Standards 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Limonite 20.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Spinoff 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Mr. Money 20.00 4 8-1
11 11 Hog Creek Hustle 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Bankit 20.00 5.4 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.