April 5, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Threeohtwocassie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Luna | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tropicat | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erasmo’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wingman | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unnamed Soldier | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wall of Stone | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broadcast Time | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Exchange | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Mike | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Make U Famous | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Red Sea | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Backcat | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Estrella Guia | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yansa | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garota | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maleficent Beauty | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghaisweetheart | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Followhisfootsteps | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zaya | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Warrior | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Live for the Day | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Giant | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Splash | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Llano | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Guard | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sky Point | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Braver Then We Are | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Thunder | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passionate Hachi | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Pride | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zuliano | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Mighty Judge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cocktail Skirt | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denver | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trilby | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windjammer (GER) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Rose | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gianna’s Gift | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Flurry | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Blondie Run | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberale (FR) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quick Connect | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Rock | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Gipper | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Buzz | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Saman | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Gone Gone | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apache Brave | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shoshone Brave | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dublin Tinker | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Arrivederla | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam Lets Go | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vinnie Van Go | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running for Riz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Why Trust | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Venezuelan Warrior | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oblio’s Wish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bygollymissdolly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Love | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Princess Zoe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Secret O’Life | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Dixie Princess | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dubaian | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catherines Warrior | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tikitaca | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Return the Favor | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sunny Sonata | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Before | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Pointedlee | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.