April 5, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Untruthful Sonnet | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bash | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Rockin Blues | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Ten | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlet Tanager | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slowpoke | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baduke | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stomp Dance | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Man | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cort’n Asong | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miners Quest | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Graves Island | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joy Drive | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arrivederci | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free to Trump | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French’s Quest | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In Him With Him | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ticker Tape Parade | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patriotic Quest | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Walk | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Express | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Village Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Heir | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Marshal | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belmonte | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Caviar | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watchmeneighneigh | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liar | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Nic | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | L’Overture | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Gum | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crush It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Martini Kid | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legend’s Hope | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sparty | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Never Nevermore | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Earned It | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Broad Expanse | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquistodor Fuego | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rough Sea | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Stones | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creepy the Crab | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapidashcat | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midskipman | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seventyseven Force | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Niffler | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Professor Jones | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zip Van Winkle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Global Citizen | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Swords | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Halite | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jefazo | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sidewalk Prophet | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | To Blave | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shoeless | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Real Factor | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shortlist | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rule Yourself | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vincent Van Gogo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broker’s Reward | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grand Oasis | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Le Gros Bill | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Big Boots | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fernwood Drive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Grand Teton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Reno Grande | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Railmaster | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frost’s Song | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Day the Music Died | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tomb Robber | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kickstarter | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brooks Robinson | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stand My Ground | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Solo | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.