April 6, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leroi’s Gem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Lookin Forever | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Motatan | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Desiderato | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Peak | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brag Dude | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Fast | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cadillac Kitten | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | America’s Simmard | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yale Deal | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Italian Smile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Untouchable U | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 2 | Schmiss | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Counsel | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Girl | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cotton Tooyah | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queens Quarters | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Galileo’s Affair | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kittian Hill | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Fudge Honey | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Gran Surprise | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All About Hay | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapits Last Dance | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Saturn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J. P. Calling | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Lucifer | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Ten | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cuckoo Kenia | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tormenta de Oro | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Surprise | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Memorize | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexi’s Doll | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Witch | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Noelle | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Arpinella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mosca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wigwam Summer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tide of the Desert | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Too Stormy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | False Accusation | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Pinocchio | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Family Kitten | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spa Jazz | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Overzealous | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brandt | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Project | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tagore | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friend Zone | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Step Alpha | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Glory of Florida | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dyn | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Attack | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Front | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ironwood | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Borough Boy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Makinalegacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cause for Pardon | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Softball | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wink and a Nod | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alperes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Two Step Slew | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rough Note | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Drill | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stuck With You | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shanghai Levi | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bellamy Street | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joe Cain | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Max | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Mr. Wonderful | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rigo | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Zeus | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Boss | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plea Bargain | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Roberta | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fancyflash | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Throne | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Enduring Arch | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don Fager | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Sea of Hope | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Blue Sky | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiberius Mercurius | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rags for Britches | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor System | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elfitz | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Primo Posto | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Lion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Extra Extra | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Hoski | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hijacker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blue Lute | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bantu | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Spring | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driven by Thunder | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King of Spades | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cometin | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Slot Receiver | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Dividend | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chuckles Candy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caloric | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rayo My King | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ole Mole | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moon Eyes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starship Nala | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Katieleigh | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Mama | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Descente | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cory Gal | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Marcela | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calinas Song | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jost Do It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Love Nest | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Indisputablylinked | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Nobody | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pendrell Moon | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Barbie’s King | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Krammy Boy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karamchand | 50.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Prolific Runner | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home Power | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Art Bijou (ARG) | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Commander Fish | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.