April 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fashion Break | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gagaoveryou | 1.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Show | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Stroll | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Greatness | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Venezuelan | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Red Wine | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Quality | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valerie First | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tong Shu | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paulette | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jazzy Beach | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Bonita Chica | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Azarch | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Just Kidding | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Squeeze | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pass the Butter | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inhibition | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chatiment | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trio of Champions | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Poseidons Heir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ridout Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sonar | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marva | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Reiterate | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Majudie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marching In | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bay Blaze | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blue Mistress | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oblio’s Wish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bargainaire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mystify Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Karenina | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Starship Gussie | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquesthardcherry | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Courtesy Notice | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Mariu | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Zao’s Dreams | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | You People | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mesa Madeira | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Shall Return | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bad to the Core (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | King Leo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gran Greyfrost | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baffin Bay | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tangible | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Vow Me Now | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharetheblame | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quarky | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor D J | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hijacker | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Majesty | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lailoni | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Mystery | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poesia | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary Lee and Me | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slingin Sammy B | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To Fight | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Unbridled Cat | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Folly | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beechwood Ella (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fly | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coastal Sea | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Answer My Call | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Island Reward | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ms Meshak | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Burning Question (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sean’s Idea | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tell Me Maux | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Lassy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Princess Gaby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Uncaptured Angel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Letsnotgetoexcited | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kindhearted Kota | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapizar Girl | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lillie’s Heat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catnip Kitten | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charette | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tropical Frosty | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bode Baby | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Love Bomb | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twitch Again | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ocala Rose | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mi Karlita | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.