April 14, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Almafuerte | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 1 | Desert Thief | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fancy Pants Jen | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | Redeal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Placed Plan | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fetch’s Mon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Supercede | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Northern Connect | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jokasa | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Britches | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ludlum | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblingrudyrags | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Culture | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lifesbeengoodsofar | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purrfectpersuasion | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | R H Smoakem | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Air Power | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m River | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Memphisinmay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Above Board | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7A | 6 | Got Even | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mineyerownmalone | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Lee | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top of the Page | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kahramani | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Candyrock | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Richard | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lord Simba | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fareeq | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aquamarine | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Syd | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookie Loo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmelo | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Powerful Thirst | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Desire | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spa Shackalacka | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King’s Reckoning | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fulkerson | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Strong Side | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Firehorn | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You’re Killin Me | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Flat Lucky | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Al | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crawford | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Out of Hydeing | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s Schiller | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sambucca | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Fifth Season S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Operation Stevie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Secret Passage | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaakom | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matrooh | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gato Guapo | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Indy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snapper Sinclair | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Tough | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Casino Star | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fight On | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Heir of Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Lindante | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rock n’ Candy | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cool Catomine | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Again | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bigshot Lacewell | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tonedaddy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Jubal | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Holiday Mischief | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Due to His Charm | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Apple Blossom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Elate | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Escape Clause | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Gadot | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Martini | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Bisou | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Viva Forever | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Parrot | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoonani Road | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Racer | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glacken’s Ghost | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Ruler | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mallard’s Bro | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandit Point | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Promising Shoes | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bogey | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chantmeupbaby | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Strawn’s Cash | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.