Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 18, 2019

April 18, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Xanthique 2.00 1.1 2-1
1.7 3-1
2 2 Can U Handle This 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Queen Kahen 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 It’s a Shaw Thing 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bizness Beauty 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Simply Fast 8.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Claire’s Kitty 3.00 SCRATCH
1.6 3-1
2 2 Magari 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Tayler’s the Boss 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Golden Vale 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 3 Salty Smile 5.00 2 4-1
6 5 Princess Mikayah 12.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Fear No One 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Herecomesyourman 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 County Court 2.00 1.6 3-1
1.7 3-1
1 1 Heavy Meddle 6.00 1.7 3-1
6A 5 Where’s Rudy 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Snake Oil Charlie 30.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Bootlegger (FR) 3.50 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pecan Pattie 0.20 1.4 3-1
2 2 Rattlesnake Bite 5.00 1.6 3-1
1.7 3-1
1 1 Solitary Gem 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Carlisle Belle 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dazzling Speed 30.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Party in the Sand 12.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Letterman 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Wicked Trick 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Dreammaster 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Field Patrol 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bourbon Boy 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Garsoon 50.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Asher the Dasher 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Inclunation 5.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tizanoxbow 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Invest 1.60 SCRATCH
2 1 Scotty Brown 2.50 1.1 2-1
1.7 3-1
4 2 Qian B C 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 3 Elektronic 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 Awesome Ammo 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 7 Wicked Grin 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Moo Lah 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 5 Freudian Sip 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Jack the Cat 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 River Echo (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
1.6 3-1
2 2 Reed Kan 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 3 Bon Raison 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Long Haul Bay 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Seethisquick 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Runaway Lute 6.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elios Milos 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Latin Love Bug 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Holey Matrimony 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Leap to Glory 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Roseboro 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 5 Binkster 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Wushu Warrior 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 6 Vicar’s Legend 20.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Deputy Flag 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Lorcan 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tizgame 1.60 1 2-1
7 5 Bobby Man 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Fortune Smiles 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Noble Cause 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Tenency 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 True Blue Giant 4.50 3 6-1
11 9 Big Paddy Brown 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 The Sinner Is You 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Hudson Overpass 15.00 4.5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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