Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 18, 2019

April 18, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Gandhi’s Castle 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Courtesy Shuffle 4.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Determined Love 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Twirling Owen 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Always Talking 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Naughty Thoughts 4.00 2.3 4-1
1A 8 Tapping My Heart 4.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Punk Rock Princess 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Lady George 20.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hard Fought 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 My Good Man 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Uno Dancer 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Cowboy Night 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Love’s Legend 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Greek Prince 8.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Scout’s Honor 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Whateveryouwant 0.60 1.3 3-1
1A 7 Helloitsme 0.60 1.4 3-1
3 3 Correjon 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Guick 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Manipulated 6.00 3 6-1
7 8 Sir Rockport 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Be Back 30.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Artful Splatter 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gateau St Honore 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Weekend Flyer 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Kentucky Smooth 15.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Into Bluegrass 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Paz the Wine 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 You Made It 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Alydarius 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cat Lak 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Rossby 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Neetee Rides Again 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Pensy Moll 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Biletnikoff 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Makewayforjerry 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Cyclobomb 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Coffee Please 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Tom Hagen 1.40 2 4-1
2 2 Lincoln’s Address 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Snidely 6.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ying Yue 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Introduced 0.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Nightlife 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 River Gal 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 G’s Warrior 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Great French Kiss 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Caterina One 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Social Media 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Awesome Standard 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Parade of Nations 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Easy River 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Fifties Music 20.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 To the Hilt 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Swing Step 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Runaway Bull 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Swivel 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Diamond Brew 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pepper Pot 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Nevisian Sunset 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Written Word (GB) 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Multitude 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ortinola 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Giulia Ammannati 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Fairy Wish 20.00 3.6 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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