Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 18, 2019

April 18, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ghosted 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Big Kitty Kitty 3.50 2 4-1
1 2 Lively Spell 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Arkansas Alley 2.50 2.2 4-1
1A 8 Button Mushroom 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sassy Olivia Ann 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Pleasure and Glory 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Fortressa 10.00 4 8-1
8 9 Primary First 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flume 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Franki D Oro 6.00 SCRATCH
8 6 My Girl Rocket 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Shell Locket 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 4 Angel’s Cut 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Cactus Cheque 8.00 2.9 6-1
11 9 Storm Stride 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Eva’s Candy 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Miss Larissa 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Mia Angel S 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 De Melo 12.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Justin Zee 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Collection 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jersey’s Heat 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Everado 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Knight Errant 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Intimidating 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Forestry’s Buddy 20.00 3.4 6-1
11 9 Dream Baby Dream 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Hamazing Vision 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Data Gold 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Starlin 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glamorized 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Seeds of Time 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Mostly Awesome 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Infuse 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 No Cacha Na (CHI) 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Holdthatlove 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Acorn Street 8.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Primary Paula 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Jeweled Crown 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Savedbyanangel 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Lil Tater 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Warm Beauty 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tedders Angel 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Rosemary Beach 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Lynne T 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Firm Alexis 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nariz Canela 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Tapit Right 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 My Little Spitfire 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Melissa 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Presley 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Desert Madam 2.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Serious I Candy 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Crimson Creed 6.00 1.7 3-1
1A 4 Council Rules 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Valiant Lady 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Racey Reecey 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Alittlecomplicated 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Boathouse View 15.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Ring Me Up 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Zella Rose 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 J P’s Gladys 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Maid Easy 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dontbefoolish 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Survey 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 1 Gowdy 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Freemore 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Augie 2.50 2.5 5-1
12 11 Impressed 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Tsali 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Staccato 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Millwood 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Midland 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 D’oros Ruler 30.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Little Mark 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ms Fifty First St. 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Euro Me 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Aunt Gayle 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Chilean Queen 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Fastanista 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Easter Indy 12.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Blushing Bella 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 She’s Undawnted 20.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wild Popit 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Firecrow 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Curlin’s On Fire 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tut’s Revenge 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Loopallu 5.00 1.8 3-1
10 6 Nifty 3.50 2 4-1
6 4 Runaway Wind 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Slick Silver 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 J M White Lighting 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 Kansas City Zip 15.00 3.1 6-1
11 7 Lea Ridge 12.00 3.2 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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