April 20, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Starship Saturn |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Sky Chaser |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Country Strong |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
One Classy Lady |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Valeria Queen |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lion Diva |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Buenamoza |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Touch of Dixie |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Chirping |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pirate’s Treasure |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spa Jazz |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Macfadden |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mosca |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cool Mover |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mass Approval |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Manhattan Project |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
I’ll Make U Famous |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Thinkingofcharles |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Fried Plantaine |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Another Softball |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Krammy Boy |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Overleveraged |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Very Amusing |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Valid Exchange |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Drill Down Dude |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Stack |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mister Storm |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shanghai Levi |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Man Mike |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Listen to the Lion |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prolific Runner |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Steady Earner |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Joe Di Baggio |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
First Deal |
1.40 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Leaky Cup |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smoker |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elgin Escape |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rayo My King |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smooth As |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Game Face S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Brunette Princess |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Warrior Empress |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
A Bit of Both |
1.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Karama |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Amy Farah Fowler |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Getting Warmer |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Talkback |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Zippy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Titochip |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Tweet Kitten |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Giant Run |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bold Daddy |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Tusk |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unbridled Holiday |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Harbor |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marshall Eddy |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Miles of Humor |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Whisky N Roses |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Souper Stonehenge |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Polar Jet |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Idolize You |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coop Tries Harder |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tomater Gator |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kong Style |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Salambo |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Running for Riz |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chinomado |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Logsdon |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Worth Avenue |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Stay Safe Kitten |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ferdinanda |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chilled Milk |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Rose Velvet (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Muchacha Uno |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Reagan’s Odyssey |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Devious Charm |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Swayed |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Crazy for Sofia |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Faith N Hope |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Fancyflash |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Toss |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Black Pepper |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Mr. Wonderful |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Candy Max |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saint Michael |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Boss |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zalza |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
K C Twostep |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Joe Cain |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
14 |
14 |
Rigo |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
El Zeus |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dreamin of d’Wild |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rey Astray |
50.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yale Deal |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Don Fager |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Alien Invasion |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Spinos |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Osvaldo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Jegos Fire |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Thorpe d’Oro |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Fast |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
10 |
Put the Hat Back |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Graydar’s Resolve |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
13 |
12 |
Big Possible |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
America’s Simmard |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Didnt Do It |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Codeseventyseven |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brag Dude |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12 |
11 |
Fulgencio |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moonstricking |
50.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Soldat War |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Roar S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Jackson |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Promo Code |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Garter and Tie |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
6 |
Bronzed |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Gladiator King |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Releasethethunder |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Take Command |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Cafe Du Monde |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Big Sport |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Llano |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Edward He’s Sofine |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Temple |
4.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Perfect Beam |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tiz Luna |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
10 |
Restart |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Wheeler Forty Five |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
14 |
12 |
Sky D |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Live Like Larry |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Big Alex |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Pescecane |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Maturin |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Art Object |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Perfect Enough |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.